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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland2.46+5.28vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.55+3.90vs Predicted
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3Fordham University2.35+3.56vs Predicted
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4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.07+6.84vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.39+1.27vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland1.62+3.10vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University1.93+0.88vs Predicted
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8Hampton University1.77+0.41vs Predicted
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9Georgetown University2.79-4.08vs Predicted
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10University of Pennsylvania2.13-2.59vs Predicted
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11Webb Institute1.54-1.49vs Predicted
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12Cornell University2.34-5.28vs Predicted
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13SUNY Maritime College1.10-2.21vs Predicted
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14Christopher Newport University0.85-2.50vs Predicted
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15Drexel University0.32-1.56vs Predicted
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16Rochester Institute of Technology-1.01+0.34vs Predicted
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17Princeton University0.34-3.53vs Predicted
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18Syracuse University-0.67-2.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.28St. Mary's College of Maryland2.460.1%1st Place
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5.9U. S. Naval Academy2.550.1%1st Place
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6.56Fordham University2.350.1%1st Place
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10.84U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.070.0%1st Place
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6.27Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.390.1%1st Place
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9.1St. Mary's College of Maryland1.620.0%1st Place
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7.88Old Dominion University1.930.1%1st Place
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8.41Hampton University1.770.1%1st Place
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4.92Georgetown University2.790.1%1st Place
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7.41University of Pennsylvania2.130.1%1st Place
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9.51Webb Institute1.540.0%1st Place
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6.72Cornell University2.340.1%1st Place
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10.79SUNY Maritime College1.100.0%1st Place
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11.5Christopher Newport University0.850.0%1st Place
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13.44Drexel University0.320.0%1st Place
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16.34Rochester Institute of Technology-1.010.0%1st Place
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13.47Princeton University0.340.0%1st Place
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15.65Syracuse University-0.670.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlie Anderson | 9.6% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Welburn | 8.9% | 11.2% | 9.0% | 11.5% | 10.5% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Zils | 8.4% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 7.3% | 9.9% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Reed McAllister | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 10.1% | 11.2% | 12.3% | 6.9% | 4.0% | 1.6% |
| Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 9.7% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Oscar MacGillivray | 4.3% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Parker Purrington | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Valerio Palamara | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Mateo Di Blasi | 14.8% | 13.7% | 12.3% | 9.1% | 11.0% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cole Woodworth | 8.0% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Everett Botwinick | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 4.3% | 1.4% | 0.6% |
| Winborne Majette | 9.4% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brooks Turcotte | 2.9% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 11.6% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 4.0% | 1.3% |
| Aston Atherton | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 14.3% | 10.0% | 6.2% | 2.1% |
| Iain Shand | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 7.5% | 10.1% | 14.0% | 17.4% | 15.1% | 6.9% |
| John Wynne | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 5.7% | 11.0% | 20.3% | 49.6% |
| Jasper Waldman | 1.5% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 9.9% | 12.5% | 18.0% | 15.4% | 7.8% |
| Maren Behnke | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 4.4% | 7.4% | 13.8% | 30.5% | 29.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.