← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Old Dominion University1.93+7.11vs Predicted
-
2Georgetown University2.79+3.13vs Predicted
-
3Webb Institute1.54+6.56vs Predicted
-
4Cornell University2.34+2.40vs Predicted
-
5Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.39+1.23vs Predicted
-
6Fordham University2.35+0.41vs Predicted
-
7U. S. Naval Academy2.55-1.24vs Predicted
-
8St. Mary's College of Maryland2.46-1.99vs Predicted
-
9U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.07+2.03vs Predicted
-
10SUNY Maritime College1.10+1.16vs Predicted
-
11Drexel University0.32+2.44vs Predicted
-
12Rochester Institute of Technology-1.01+4.50vs Predicted
-
13Hampton University1.77-4.60vs Predicted
-
14St. Mary's College of Maryland1.62-5.20vs Predicted
-
15Princeton University0.34-1.68vs Predicted
-
16Christopher Newport University0.85-4.15vs Predicted
-
17Syracuse University-0.67-1.17vs Predicted
-
18University of Pennsylvania2.13-10.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
8.11Old Dominion University1.930.1%1st Place
-
5.13Georgetown University2.790.1%1st Place
-
9.56Webb Institute1.540.0%1st Place
-
6.4Cornell University2.340.1%1st Place
-
6.23Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.390.1%1st Place
-
6.41Fordham University2.350.1%1st Place
-
5.76U. S. Naval Academy2.550.1%1st Place
-
6.01St. Mary's College of Maryland2.460.1%1st Place
-
11.03U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.070.0%1st Place
-
11.16SUNY Maritime College1.100.0%1st Place
-
13.44Drexel University0.320.0%1st Place
-
16.5Rochester Institute of Technology-1.010.0%1st Place
-
8.4Hampton University1.770.1%1st Place
-
8.8St. Mary's College of Maryland1.620.0%1st Place
-
13.32Princeton University0.340.0%1st Place
-
11.85Christopher Newport University0.850.0%1st Place
-
15.83Syracuse University-0.670.0%1st Place
-
7.07University of Pennsylvania2.130.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Parker Purrington | 6.3% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Mateo Di Blasi | 11.7% | 11.2% | 13.5% | 11.5% | 11.4% | 10.7% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Everett Botwinick | 3.4% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 3.6% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Winborne Majette | 10.1% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 9.8% | 11.2% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Zils | 8.9% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 7.6% | 10.4% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Welburn | 10.9% | 11.3% | 11.8% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charlie Anderson | 10.3% | 11.3% | 11.1% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Reed McAllister | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 11.0% | 12.1% | 10.9% | 8.6% | 3.7% | 0.7% |
| Brooks Turcotte | 2.9% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 11.7% | 11.7% | 8.6% | 3.7% | 1.2% |
| Iain Shand | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 11.2% | 11.9% | 18.3% | 15.3% | 7.3% |
| John Wynne | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 5.6% | 8.8% | 21.9% | 51.1% |
| Valerio Palamara | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Oscar MacGillivray | 4.9% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Jasper Waldman | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 14.3% | 19.7% | 12.5% | 6.0% |
| Aston Atherton | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 11.0% | 11.9% | 11.7% | 7.9% | 1.7% |
| Maren Behnke | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 6.8% | 11.5% | 31.3% | 31.7% |
| Cole Woodworth | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.