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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.42+4.07vs Predicted
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2Webb Institute1.43+6.28vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.57+2.06vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland2.05+3.08vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.77+2.38vs Predicted
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6Cornell University1.68+1.81vs Predicted
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7Drexel University0.47+5.37vs Predicted
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8George Washington University1.44+0.92vs Predicted
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9Princeton University0.27+3.69vs Predicted
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10Hampton University0.72+2.96vs Predicted
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11Fordham University1.98-3.98vs Predicted
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12SUNY Maritime College0.72-0.47vs Predicted
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13Old Dominion University1.59-4.93vs Predicted
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14University of Pennsylvania1.71-6.46vs Predicted
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15Christopher Newport University0.73-4.12vs Predicted
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16U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.99-5.70vs Predicted
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17Washington College0.20-3.06vs Predicted
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18University of Virginia-0.34-3.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.07Georgetown University2.4214.5%1st Place
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8.28Webb Institute1.435.8%1st Place
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5.06U. S. Naval Academy2.5714.7%1st Place
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7.08St. Mary's College of Maryland2.058.0%1st Place
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7.38Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.777.5%1st Place
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7.81Cornell University1.686.8%1st Place
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12.37Drexel University0.471.9%1st Place
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8.92George Washington University1.444.9%1st Place
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12.69Princeton University0.271.5%1st Place
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12.96Hampton University0.721.5%1st Place
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7.02Fordham University1.987.8%1st Place
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11.53SUNY Maritime College0.723.0%1st Place
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8.07Old Dominion University1.595.9%1st Place
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7.54University of Pennsylvania1.718.1%1st Place
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10.88Christopher Newport University0.732.6%1st Place
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10.3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.993.2%1st Place
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13.94Washington College0.200.9%1st Place
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14.11University of Virginia-0.341.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Enzo Menditto | 14.5% | 13.4% | 11.4% | 11.8% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Payne Donaldson | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Henry Allgeier | 14.7% | 11.9% | 12.2% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Charlie Anderson | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| J.J. Smith | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Iain Shand | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 10.9% | 11.5% | 11.8% | 9.7% |
| Jedidiah Bechtel | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Jasper Waldman | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 10.0% | 11.9% | 13.2% | 12.1% |
| Stefano Palamara | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 11.8% | 14.2% | 12.7% |
| Jacob Zils | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Brooks Turcotte | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 6.2% |
| Diogo Silva | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Benjamin Honig | 8.1% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Joshua Bendura | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 4.0% |
| Reed McAllister | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 2.2% |
| Kennedy Jones | 0.9% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 9.6% | 11.4% | 15.2% | 23.2% |
| Maxwell Penders | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 10.7% | 14.8% | 27.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.