← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Indiana University0.82+6.08vs Predicted
-
2University of Wisconsin1.25+3.58vs Predicted
-
3Hillsdale College0.41+5.54vs Predicted
-
4University of Wisconsin1.18+1.90vs Predicted
-
5Purdue University0.56+3.17vs Predicted
-
6University of Chicago1.00+0.54vs Predicted
-
7University of Saint Thomas0.60+0.91vs Predicted
-
8Ohio State University-0.03+2.15vs Predicted
-
9Marquette University0.05+0.86vs Predicted
-
10Michigan Technological University0.54-1.72vs Predicted
-
11University of Illinois-0.96+1.68vs Predicted
-
12Northwestern University1.23-5.95vs Predicted
-
13Michigan State University0.32-3.80vs Predicted
-
14University of Notre Dame0.64-6.22vs Predicted
-
15University of Michigan1.07-8.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.08Indiana University0.820.1%1st Place
-
5.58University of Wisconsin1.250.1%1st Place
-
8.54Hillsdale College0.410.1%1st Place
-
5.9University of Wisconsin1.180.1%1st Place
-
8.17Purdue University0.560.1%1st Place
-
6.54University of Chicago1.000.1%1st Place
-
7.91University of Saint Thomas0.600.1%1st Place
-
10.15Ohio State University-0.030.0%1st Place
-
9.86Marquette University0.050.0%1st Place
-
8.28Michigan Technological University0.540.1%1st Place
-
12.68University of Illinois-0.960.0%1st Place
-
6.05Northwestern University1.230.1%1st Place
-
9.2Michigan State University0.320.0%1st Place
-
7.78University of Notre Dame0.640.1%1st Place
-
6.29University of Michigan1.070.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nithya Balachander | 8.8% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 1.9% |
| Charlie Herrick | 11.4% | 12.4% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Arden Carleton | 5.4% | 3.9% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 3.6% |
| Gavin Dempsey | 10.3% | 11.6% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Odey Hariri | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 3.8% |
| Christian Ehrnrooth | 8.1% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 0.9% |
| Rachel Bartel | 7.8% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 3.0% |
| Mason Shaw | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 9.5% | 12.7% | 14.8% | 12.0% |
| Eric Hoyerman | 2.7% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 11.2% | 12.2% | 10.8% |
| Andrew Michels | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 3.9% |
| Domenico Sacchetti | 1.5% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 14.7% | 48.5% |
| Jake Weinstein | 10.3% | 8.5% | 11.0% | 10.8% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Dougie Cowan | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 9.5% | 7.1% |
| Joseph Gallagher | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 8.9% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 2.8% |
| Joe Serpa | 9.2% | 12.3% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 0.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.