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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin1.25+4.69vs Predicted
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2Michigan State University0.32+6.72vs Predicted
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3University of Chicago1.00+3.49vs Predicted
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4Northwestern University1.23+1.77vs Predicted
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5University of Saint Thomas0.60+3.02vs Predicted
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6Marquette University0.05+3.92vs Predicted
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7Michigan Technological University0.54+1.11vs Predicted
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8University of Notre Dame0.64-0.16vs Predicted
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9Indiana University0.82-1.90vs Predicted
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10Ohio State University-0.03+0.17vs Predicted
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11University of Wisconsin1.18-4.94vs Predicted
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12University of Illinois-0.96+0.94vs Predicted
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13University of Michigan1.07-6.45vs Predicted
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14Purdue University0.56-5.95vs Predicted
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15Hillsdale College0.41-6.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.69University of Wisconsin1.250.1%1st Place
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8.72Michigan State University0.320.0%1st Place
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6.49University of Chicago1.000.1%1st Place
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5.77Northwestern University1.230.1%1st Place
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8.02University of Saint Thomas0.600.1%1st Place
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9.92Marquette University0.050.0%1st Place
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8.11Michigan Technological University0.540.1%1st Place
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7.84University of Notre Dame0.640.1%1st Place
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7.1Indiana University0.820.1%1st Place
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10.17Ohio State University-0.030.0%1st Place
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6.06University of Wisconsin1.180.1%1st Place
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12.94University of Illinois-0.960.0%1st Place
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6.55University of Michigan1.070.1%1st Place
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8.05Purdue University0.560.1%1st Place
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8.56Hillsdale College0.410.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlie Herrick | 11.2% | 11.6% | 10.1% | 11.2% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
| Dougie Cowan | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 6.0% |
| Christian Ehrnrooth | 8.8% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 0.4% |
| Jake Weinstein | 11.5% | 10.2% | 12.6% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 0.3% |
| Rachel Bartel | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 2.9% |
| Eric Hoyerman | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 13.0% | 10.6% | 12.9% | 10.7% |
| Andrew Michels | 6.7% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 3.8% |
| Joseph Gallagher | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 2.6% |
| Nithya Balachander | 6.5% | 6.4% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 2.4% | 0.8% |
| Mason Shaw | 3.1% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 9.9% | 13.1% | 13.6% | 12.5% |
| Gavin Dempsey | 10.1% | 12.3% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 0.9% |
| Domenico Sacchetti | 1.3% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 14.6% | 51.2% |
| Joe Serpa | 9.5% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| Odey Hariri | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 2.9% |
| Arden Carleton | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 3.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.