Race 7B

cornell-fall-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Elliott Morrill 31.8% 26.2% 19.1% 10.4% 7.2% 2.9% 1.0% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Duncan Howes 19.1% 18.5% 19.8% 13.4% 11.4% 8.6% 5.8% 2.6% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Alexander Liem 11.0% 9.5% 11.8% 14.3% 13.6% 13.7% 10.9% 9.1% 3.8% 2.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Irene Jacqz 12.6% 15.7% 14.2% 16.0% 15.0% 11.1% 7.6% 4.2% 2.0% 1.5% 0.1% 0.0%
Christian Geary 8.9% 9.3% 12.7% 13.3% 15.4% 12.1% 10.9% 7.7% 5.6% 2.9% 1.2% 0.0%
Sarah Celone 3.9% 4.7% 5.4% 8.6% 8.8% 10.9% 13.4% 15.9% 11.7% 10.0% 5.7% 1.0%
Harmen Rockler 1.9% 2.8% 3.0% 3.9% 3.8% 6.8% 8.5% 10.1% 15.2% 16.6% 19.7% 7.7%
Matthew Winter 3.4% 4.7% 4.4% 7.1% 7.4% 12.1% 10.5% 13.1% 15.8% 12.5% 7.2% 1.8%
Autumn Hoover 1.6% 2.1% 2.2% 4.4% 4.3% 7.3% 10.2% 10.4% 15.8% 18.4% 18.4% 4.9%
Gavin Schlissel 3.9% 4.3% 5.6% 6.0% 9.6% 9.7% 12.5% 14.8% 13.5% 11.8% 7.0% 1.3%
Stephanie Rosenbaum 1.6% 1.6% 1.3% 2.0% 2.7% 3.7% 7.0% 8.2% 12.0% 17.5% 27.5% 14.9%
Shannon Kenyon 0.3% 0.6% 0.5% 0.6% 0.8% 1.1% 1.7% 3.0% 3.5% 6.5% 13.0% 68.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.