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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University1.68+6.52vs Predicted
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2Webb Institute1.43+6.00vs Predicted
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3Fordham University1.98+3.77vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University2.42+0.90vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland2.05+1.79vs Predicted
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6Hampton University0.72+6.31vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy2.57-2.21vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.77-0.89vs Predicted
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9Christopher Newport University0.65+3.53vs Predicted
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10University of Pennsylvania1.71-2.87vs Predicted
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11Princeton University0.27+1.38vs Predicted
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12Old Dominion University1.59-4.41vs Predicted
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13George Washington University1.44-4.45vs Predicted
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14Drexel University0.47-2.08vs Predicted
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15U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.10-1.09vs Predicted
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16SUNY Maritime College0.72-4.77vs Predicted
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17Washington College0.20-3.25vs Predicted
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18University of Virginia-0.34-4.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.52Cornell University1.686.2%1st Place
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8.0Webb Institute1.436.7%1st Place
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6.77Fordham University1.989.0%1st Place
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4.9Georgetown University2.4214.1%1st Place
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6.79St. Mary's College of Maryland2.057.6%1st Place
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12.31Hampton University0.721.7%1st Place
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4.79U. S. Naval Academy2.5715.0%1st Place
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7.11Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.778.2%1st Place
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12.53Christopher Newport University0.651.8%1st Place
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7.13University of Pennsylvania1.717.2%1st Place
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12.38Princeton University0.272.0%1st Place
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7.59Old Dominion University1.596.8%1st Place
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8.55George Washington University1.445.8%1st Place
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11.92Drexel University0.472.5%1st Place
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13.91U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.101.6%1st Place
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11.23SUNY Maritime College0.722.0%1st Place
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13.75Washington College0.200.9%1st Place
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13.82University of Virginia-0.340.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J.J. Smith | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Payne Donaldson | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Jacob Zils | 9.0% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Enzo Menditto | 14.1% | 13.0% | 13.4% | 11.7% | 10.9% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charlie Anderson | 7.6% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Stefano Palamara | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 12.5% | 8.1% |
| Henry Allgeier | 15.0% | 13.4% | 12.4% | 12.7% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 8.2% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Grace Watlington | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 11.2% | 11.7% | 9.8% |
| Benjamin Honig | 7.2% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Jasper Waldman | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 10.8% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 9.6% |
| Diogo Silva | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Jedidiah Bechtel | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Iain Shand | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 6.6% |
| Katherine Mason | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 12.6% | 14.8% | 22.7% |
| Brooks Turcotte | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 4.2% |
| Kennedy Jones | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 10.4% | 12.7% | 15.6% | 18.4% |
| Maxwell Penders | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 12.2% | 14.6% | 19.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.