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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Purdue University0.56+6.94vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin1.18+3.74vs Predicted
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3Hillsdale College0.41+5.56vs Predicted
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4Michigan State University0.32+4.89vs Predicted
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5University of Notre Dame0.64+2.91vs Predicted
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6University of Saint Thomas0.60+2.00vs Predicted
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7Indiana University0.82+0.14vs Predicted
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8University of Michigan1.07-1.68vs Predicted
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9Marquette University0.05+0.81vs Predicted
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10Northwestern University1.23-4.14vs Predicted
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11University of Illinois-0.96+1.70vs Predicted
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12Michigan Technological University0.54-3.51vs Predicted
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13University of Wisconsin1.25-6.98vs Predicted
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14Ohio State University-0.03-3.94vs Predicted
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15University of Chicago1.00-8.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.94Purdue University0.560.1%1st Place
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5.74University of Wisconsin1.180.1%1st Place
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8.56Hillsdale College0.410.0%1st Place
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8.89Michigan State University0.320.0%1st Place
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7.91University of Notre Dame0.640.1%1st Place
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8.0University of Saint Thomas0.600.1%1st Place
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7.14Indiana University0.820.1%1st Place
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6.32University of Michigan1.070.1%1st Place
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9.81Marquette University0.050.0%1st Place
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5.86Northwestern University1.230.1%1st Place
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12.7University of Illinois-0.960.0%1st Place
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8.49Michigan Technological University0.540.1%1st Place
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6.02University of Wisconsin1.250.1%1st Place
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10.06Ohio State University-0.030.0%1st Place
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6.57University of Chicago1.000.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Odey Hariri | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 3.8% |
| Gavin Dempsey | 10.7% | 13.3% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 0.2% |
| Arden Carleton | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 4.2% |
| Dougie Cowan | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 9.9% | 11.0% | 6.2% |
| Joseph Gallagher | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 3.3% |
| Rachel Bartel | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 4.7% | 2.9% |
| Nithya Balachander | 8.5% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 1.9% |
| Joe Serpa | 10.1% | 10.7% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 0.8% |
| Eric Hoyerman | 2.8% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 11.0% | 11.5% | 10.0% |
| Jake Weinstein | 10.9% | 10.2% | 11.1% | 10.7% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Domenico Sacchetti | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 8.3% | 12.8% | 49.8% |
| Andrew Michels | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 4.0% |
| Charlie Herrick | 10.3% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.6% |
| Mason Shaw | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 12.1% | 16.1% | 10.9% |
| Christian Ehrnrooth | 9.0% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 1.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.