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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Notre Dame0.64+6.74vs Predicted
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2Northwestern University1.23+3.69vs Predicted
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3University of Wisconsin1.18+2.87vs Predicted
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4University of Wisconsin1.25+1.73vs Predicted
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5Michigan Technological University0.54+3.26vs Predicted
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6University of Chicago1.00+0.56vs Predicted
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7Indiana University0.82+0.12vs Predicted
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8Michigan State University0.32+0.94vs Predicted
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9Hillsdale College0.41-0.42vs Predicted
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10University of Saint Thomas0.60-1.94vs Predicted
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11Ohio State University-0.03-0.86vs Predicted
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12University of Michigan1.07-5.46vs Predicted
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13Marquette University0.05-2.93vs Predicted
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14Purdue University0.56-5.92vs Predicted
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15University of Illinois-0.96-2.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.74University of Notre Dame0.640.1%1st Place
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5.69Northwestern University1.230.1%1st Place
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5.87University of Wisconsin1.180.1%1st Place
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5.73University of Wisconsin1.250.1%1st Place
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8.26Michigan Technological University0.540.1%1st Place
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6.56University of Chicago1.000.1%1st Place
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7.12Indiana University0.820.1%1st Place
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8.94Michigan State University0.320.0%1st Place
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8.58Hillsdale College0.410.0%1st Place
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8.06University of Saint Thomas0.600.1%1st Place
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10.14Ohio State University-0.030.0%1st Place
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6.54University of Michigan1.070.1%1st Place
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10.07Marquette University0.050.0%1st Place
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8.08Purdue University0.560.1%1st Place
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12.62University of Illinois-0.960.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joseph Gallagher | 8.1% | 5.2% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 3.1% |
| Jake Weinstein | 9.9% | 12.7% | 12.2% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Gavin Dempsey | 10.9% | 10.8% | 11.6% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Charlie Herrick | 11.5% | 12.3% | 9.7% | 11.1% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Andrew Michels | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 3.6% |
| Christian Ehrnrooth | 8.6% | 9.7% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 0.6% |
| Nithya Balachander | 9.2% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 1.7% |
| Dougie Cowan | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 6.9% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 11.6% | 5.2% |
| Arden Carleton | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 3.2% |
| Rachel Bartel | 5.0% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 3.2% |
| Mason Shaw | 3.0% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 11.5% | 13.6% | 14.6% |
| Joe Serpa | 8.4% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| Eric Hoyerman | 3.4% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 11.7% | 13.5% | 12.5% |
| Odey Hariri | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 9.0% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 2.9% |
| Domenico Sacchetti | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 8.4% | 14.3% | 47.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.