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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin1.25+4.73vs Predicted
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2Indiana University0.82+5.06vs Predicted
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3University of Saint Thomas0.60+4.94vs Predicted
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4Northwestern University1.23+1.82vs Predicted
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5University of Chicago1.00+1.74vs Predicted
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6University of Wisconsin1.18-0.01vs Predicted
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7Michigan State University0.32+1.90vs Predicted
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8Purdue University0.56+0.10vs Predicted
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9University of Michigan1.07-2.76vs Predicted
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10University of Notre Dame0.99-3.22vs Predicted
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11Michigan Technological University0.30-1.95vs Predicted
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12Ohio State University-0.03-1.59vs Predicted
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13University of Illinois-0.96-0.18vs Predicted
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14Hillsdale College0.41-5.37vs Predicted
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15Marquette University0.05-5.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.73University of Wisconsin1.250.1%1st Place
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7.06Indiana University0.820.1%1st Place
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7.94University of Saint Thomas0.600.1%1st Place
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5.82Northwestern University1.230.1%1st Place
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6.74University of Chicago1.000.1%1st Place
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5.99University of Wisconsin1.180.1%1st Place
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8.9Michigan State University0.320.1%1st Place
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8.1Purdue University0.560.1%1st Place
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6.24University of Michigan1.070.1%1st Place
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6.78University of Notre Dame0.990.1%1st Place
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9.05Michigan Technological University0.300.0%1st Place
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10.41Ohio State University-0.030.0%1st Place
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12.82University of Illinois-0.960.0%1st Place
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8.63Hillsdale College0.410.0%1st Place
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9.8Marquette University0.050.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlie Herrick | 11.0% | 12.2% | 11.8% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| Nithya Balachander | 6.8% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 3.5% | 1.0% |
| Rachel Bartel | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 2.6% |
| Jake Weinstein | 12.3% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 7.0% | 9.7% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Christian Ehrnrooth | 9.1% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.2% |
| Gavin Dempsey | 10.3% | 10.5% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Dougie Cowan | 5.8% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 5.7% |
| Odey Hariri | 6.2% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 2.6% |
| Joe Serpa | 8.6% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 11.3% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| Timothy Hesse | 8.1% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 1.7% | 1.4% |
| Nick Myneni | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 6.6% |
| Mason Shaw | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 12.4% | 16.0% | 12.0% |
| Domenico Sacchetti | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 15.0% | 49.9% |
| Arden Carleton | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 5.2% |
| Eric Hoyerman | 3.6% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 9.6% | 12.1% | 14.0% | 9.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.