Race 8B

cornell-fall-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Duncan Howes 18.3% 18.1% 18.3% 16.5% 13.3% 6.4% 4.7% 2.8% 1.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
Alexander Liem 8.9% 11.2% 12.6% 14.1% 14.9% 13.2% 11.4% 6.2% 5.5% 1.6% 0.3% 0.1%
Elliott Morrill 32.2% 28.1% 15.2% 11.0% 7.7% 3.8% 1.4% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Matthew Winter 2.9% 3.3% 4.8% 6.9% 9.2% 12.1% 11.6% 13.7% 13.8% 12.3% 7.6% 1.8%
Christian Geary 8.2% 10.8% 12.7% 12.4% 13.2% 12.8% 11.0% 9.5% 4.8% 3.7% 0.9% 0.0%
Sarah Celone 4.0% 4.1% 7.2% 7.2% 8.5% 11.6% 13.0% 16.1% 12.2% 10.1% 5.0% 1.0%
Gavin Schlissel 4.1% 3.9% 6.3% 5.7% 9.6% 10.2% 11.9% 12.9% 13.7% 12.2% 7.0% 2.5%
Irene Jacqz 15.3% 14.7% 15.6% 14.3% 12.5% 11.0% 8.7% 4.6% 2.2% 0.6% 0.5% 0.0%
Harmen Rockler 2.2% 1.1% 2.0% 4.6% 3.8% 5.9% 9.8% 13.0% 14.1% 18.5% 19.3% 5.7%
Autumn Hoover 2.2% 2.8% 3.2% 4.2% 3.6% 6.4% 8.9% 9.7% 17.2% 16.6% 18.5% 6.7%
Stephanie Rosenbaum 1.4% 1.2% 1.8% 2.1% 2.8% 5.2% 5.8% 8.3% 12.0% 17.9% 26.6% 14.9%
Shannon Kenyon 0.3% 0.7% 0.3% 1.0% 0.9% 1.4% 1.8% 2.6% 3.5% 6.0% 14.2% 67.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.