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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Marquette University-0.20+6.03vs Predicted
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2Indiana University-0.26+5.07vs Predicted
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3Purdue University0.50+2.18vs Predicted
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4University of Saint Thomas0.47+1.33vs Predicted
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5University of Chicago0.24+1.00vs Predicted
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6Northwestern University0.44-0.51vs Predicted
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7University of Wisconsin1.11-3.39vs Predicted
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9University of Michigan-0.43-1.34vs Predicted
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10University of Wisconsin0.80-5.42vs Predicted
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11Michigan State University-1.91+0.22vs Predicted
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12Michigan Technological University0.07-5.55vs Predicted
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13Hillsdale College-1.68-2.29vs Predicted
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14Ohio State University-2.65-1.69vs Predicted
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15University of Illinois-2.68-2.63vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.03Marquette University-0.200.1%1st Place
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7.07Indiana University-0.260.0%1st Place
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5.18Purdue University0.500.1%1st Place
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5.33University of Saint Thomas0.470.1%1st Place
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6.0University of Chicago0.240.1%1st Place
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5.49Northwestern University0.440.1%1st Place
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3.61University of Wisconsin1.110.2%1st Place
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7.66University of Michigan-0.430.1%1st Place
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4.58University of Wisconsin0.800.1%1st Place
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11.22Michigan State University-1.910.0%1st Place
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6.45Michigan Technological University0.070.1%1st Place
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10.71Hillsdale College-1.680.0%1st Place
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12.31Ohio State University-2.650.0%1st Place
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12.37University of Illinois-2.680.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brittany Shabino | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 11.5% | 11.0% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 5.4% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Bryce Lesinski | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 11.6% | 10.9% | 11.7% | 9.3% | 4.8% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Justin Skene | 12.2% | 10.7% | 12.0% | 8.9% | 10.8% | 11.3% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Greg Bittle | 9.9% | 12.0% | 9.4% | 11.6% | 10.1% | 11.4% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Koenig | 6.9% | 7.6% | 10.5% | 10.6% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 11.3% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 4.4% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Nicholas Chesemore | 9.7% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 12.7% | 10.6% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Abe Weston | 22.1% | 18.8% | 15.4% | 12.0% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adrian Stone | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 14.7% | 12.0% | 8.5% | 2.2% | 0.1% |
| Seamus Hendrickson | 12.5% | 15.2% | 12.8% | 12.4% | 11.7% | 11.2% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joey Skerbeck | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 4.8% | 8.2% | 16.1% | 21.8% | 22.9% | 14.1% |
| Lucas Rodenroth | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 11.3% | 8.7% | 10.8% | 10.6% | 11.4% | 9.5% | 5.7% | 2.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Matthew Scanlon | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 6.8% | 10.3% | 18.6% | 21.2% | 17.7% | 9.4% |
| Quinn Schwarz | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 7.1% | 15.5% | 26.1% | 37.8% |
| Chris Li | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 8.1% | 13.6% | 27.0% | 38.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.