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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington0.62+3.66vs Predicted
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2University of Washington0.66+2.68vs Predicted
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3University of Washington0.72+1.56vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University-0.57+4.49vs Predicted
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5University of Washington0.43+0.30vs Predicted
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7Western Washington University0.08-0.61vs Predicted
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8University of Washington0.66-3.24vs Predicted
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9University of Victoria-1.09+0.84vs Predicted
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10University of Oregon-0.46-2.09vs Predicted
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11University of Oregon-1.01-1.21vs Predicted
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12Western Washington University-0.50-3.95vs Predicted
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13Oregon State University-2.47+0.48vs Predicted
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14Oregon State University-1.46-3.02vs Predicted
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15Western Washington University-1.18-4.92vs Predicted
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17University of Oregon-2.33-3.68vs Predicted
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18University of Victoria-2.52-4.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.66University of Washington0.620.1%1st Place
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4.68University of Washington0.660.1%1st Place
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4.56University of Washington0.720.1%1st Place
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8.49Western Washington University-0.570.0%1st Place
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5.3University of Washington0.430.1%1st Place
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6.39Western Washington University0.080.1%1st Place
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4.76University of Washington0.660.1%1st Place
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9.84University of Victoria-1.090.0%1st Place
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7.91University of Oregon-0.460.1%1st Place
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9.79University of Oregon-1.010.0%1st Place
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8.05Western Washington University-0.500.0%1st Place
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13.48Oregon State University-2.470.0%1st Place
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10.98Oregon State University-1.460.0%1st Place
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10.08Western Washington University-1.180.0%1st Place
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13.32University of Oregon-2.330.0%1st Place
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13.7University of Victoria-2.520.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erin Pamplin | 14.2% | 14.3% | 12.5% | 12.5% | 11.0% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucien Freemesser | 14.8% | 13.7% | 13.2% | 11.1% | 11.6% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Oliver Nairn | 14.8% | 13.9% | 13.4% | 12.0% | 11.0% | 10.7% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kira Blumhagen | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 11.1% | 10.8% | 9.1% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Maxwell Miller | 10.5% | 11.7% | 12.1% | 9.6% | 11.2% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Gerber | 7.1% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Owen Thomas | 14.8% | 13.0% | 11.8% | 12.0% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ethan Lowenthal | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 12.5% | 12.3% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 1.3% |
| Emily Avey | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 11.2% | 9.5% | 11.5% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Rowan Clinch | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 10.4% | 12.3% | 12.1% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 4.4% | 1.5% |
| Caroline Hurley | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 10.6% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Aaron Heard | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 10.3% | 12.9% | 21.9% | 30.4% |
| Hunter Wheaton | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 13.2% | 15.7% | 8.8% | 5.5% |
| Claire Jablonski | 2.6% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 11.2% | 11.8% | 11.9% | 10.3% | 6.2% | 2.5% |
| Kate Ryan | 0.8% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 14.8% | 24.3% | 25.0% |
| Zoe Folsetter | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 13.7% | 22.4% | 32.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.