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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington0.62+3.68vs Predicted
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2University of Washington0.66+2.67vs Predicted
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3University of Victoria-1.09+6.88vs Predicted
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4University of Oregon-0.46+4.11vs Predicted
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5University of Washington0.72-0.39vs Predicted
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7Western Washington University0.08-0.60vs Predicted
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8Western Washington University-0.50+0.19vs Predicted
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9University of Washington0.66-4.38vs Predicted
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10Oregon State University-1.46+0.96vs Predicted
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11Western Washington University-1.18-0.75vs Predicted
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13University of Oregon-1.01-3.40vs Predicted
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14Western Washington University-0.57-5.69vs Predicted
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15Oregon State University-2.47-1.48vs Predicted
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16University of Victoria-2.52-2.41vs Predicted
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17University of Oregon-2.33-3.72vs Predicted
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18University of Washington0.43-12.67vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.68University of Washington0.620.1%1st Place
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4.67University of Washington0.660.2%1st Place
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9.88University of Victoria-1.090.0%1st Place
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8.11University of Oregon-0.460.0%1st Place
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4.61University of Washington0.720.1%1st Place
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6.4Western Washington University0.080.1%1st Place
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8.19Western Washington University-0.500.1%1st Place
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4.62University of Washington0.660.1%1st Place
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10.96Oregon State University-1.460.0%1st Place
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10.25Western Washington University-1.180.0%1st Place
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9.6University of Oregon-1.010.0%1st Place
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8.31Western Washington University-0.570.0%1st Place
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13.52Oregon State University-2.470.0%1st Place
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13.59University of Victoria-2.520.0%1st Place
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13.28University of Oregon-2.330.0%1st Place
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5.33University of Washington0.430.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erin Pamplin | 15.0% | 13.1% | 12.6% | 12.8% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Owen Thomas | 16.0% | 11.6% | 12.9% | 12.9% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ethan Lowenthal | 2.7% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 10.6% | 13.8% | 11.0% | 8.0% | 5.2% | 2.8% |
| Emily Avey | 3.5% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 11.1% | 10.8% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 3.9% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Oliver Nairn | 13.5% | 14.3% | 13.2% | 13.8% | 10.5% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Gerber | 6.0% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Caroline Hurley | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 10.2% | 11.6% | 9.5% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Lucien Freemesser | 15.0% | 14.6% | 11.7% | 11.7% | 11.1% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 6.5% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hunter Wheaton | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 11.7% | 13.1% | 13.7% | 10.8% | 4.8% |
| Claire Jablonski | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 12.0% | 12.2% | 13.7% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 1.5% |
| Rowan Clinch | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 9.6% | 4.9% | 1.4% |
| Kira Blumhagen | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 10.1% | 11.3% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| Aaron Heard | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 9.5% | 15.6% | 20.4% | 30.6% |
| Zoe Folsetter | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 16.0% | 21.7% | 31.7% |
| Kate Ryan | 0.9% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 9.7% | 14.4% | 23.2% | 25.9% |
| Maxwell Miller | 9.8% | 10.5% | 11.9% | 11.3% | 11.8% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.