← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Washington0.72+3.47vs Predicted
-
2University of Washington0.43+3.26vs Predicted
-
3University of Washington0.66+1.66vs Predicted
-
4University of Oregon-0.46+4.11vs Predicted
-
5Western Washington University0.08+1.37vs Predicted
-
8University of Washington0.62-3.11vs Predicted
-
9University of Oregon-1.01+0.76vs Predicted
-
10University of Washington0.66-5.41vs Predicted
-
12Western Washington University-0.57-3.74vs Predicted
-
13Western Washington University-0.50-4.87vs Predicted
-
14Oregon State University-1.46-3.04vs Predicted
-
15Oregon State University-2.47-1.48vs Predicted
-
16University of Victoria-2.52-2.39vs Predicted
-
17University of Victoria-1.09-7.19vs Predicted
-
18Western Washington University-1.18-7.71vs Predicted
-
19University of Oregon-2.33-5.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.47University of Washington0.720.2%1st Place
-
5.26University of Washington0.430.1%1st Place
-
4.66University of Washington0.660.1%1st Place
-
8.11University of Oregon-0.460.0%1st Place
-
6.37Western Washington University0.080.1%1st Place
-
4.89University of Washington0.620.1%1st Place
-
9.76University of Oregon-1.010.0%1st Place
-
4.59University of Washington0.660.1%1st Place
-
8.26Western Washington University-0.570.0%1st Place
-
8.13Western Washington University-0.500.0%1st Place
-
10.96Oregon State University-1.460.0%1st Place
-
13.52Oregon State University-2.470.0%1st Place
-
13.61University of Victoria-2.520.0%1st Place
-
9.81University of Victoria-1.090.0%1st Place
-
10.29Western Washington University-1.180.0%1st Place
-
13.3University of Oregon-2.330.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oliver Nairn | 15.8% | 13.3% | 13.6% | 13.2% | 12.0% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maxwell Miller | 12.1% | 12.0% | 11.2% | 10.4% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucien Freemesser | 14.4% | 12.5% | 13.0% | 12.3% | 11.5% | 11.3% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emily Avey | 3.7% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Nathan Gerber | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Erin Pamplin | 11.7% | 13.6% | 13.4% | 12.2% | 11.9% | 10.0% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rowan Clinch | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 10.5% | 12.5% | 11.6% | 10.0% | 5.4% | 1.5% |
| Owen Thomas | 14.9% | 13.9% | 13.5% | 12.1% | 9.5% | 10.8% | 9.0% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kira Blumhagen | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 0.6% |
| Caroline Hurley | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 12.1% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Hunter Wheaton | 1.8% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 12.1% | 13.1% | 12.2% | 12.4% | 5.4% |
| Aaron Heard | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 3.7% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 13.7% | 21.2% | 31.4% |
| Zoe Folsetter | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 8.8% | 14.6% | 22.2% | 30.9% |
| Ethan Lowenthal | 2.3% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 10.1% | 12.7% | 10.5% | 11.9% | 8.6% | 4.5% | 2.4% |
| Claire Jablonski | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 12.2% | 11.1% | 12.3% | 12.3% | 6.4% | 2.2% |
| Kate Ryan | 0.1% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 9.5% | 16.3% | 22.1% | 25.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.