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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington0.66+3.57vs Predicted
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2University of Washington0.66+2.64vs Predicted
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3University of Washington0.43+2.27vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University-0.50+4.11vs Predicted
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5University of Washington0.72-0.46vs Predicted
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6University of Oregon-0.46+1.98vs Predicted
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8University of Washington0.62-3.16vs Predicted
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9Western Washington University-0.57-0.87vs Predicted
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10Western Washington University0.08-3.75vs Predicted
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12Oregon State University-1.46-1.12vs Predicted
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13University of Oregon-1.01-3.51vs Predicted
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14Western Washington University-1.18-3.94vs Predicted
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15University of Victoria-2.52-1.61vs Predicted
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16Oregon State University-2.47-2.77vs Predicted
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17University of Oregon-3.34-2.26vs Predicted
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18University of Victoria-1.09-8.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.57University of Washington0.660.1%1st Place
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4.64University of Washington0.660.1%1st Place
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5.27University of Washington0.430.1%1st Place
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8.11Western Washington University-0.500.0%1st Place
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4.54University of Washington0.720.1%1st Place
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7.98University of Oregon-0.460.0%1st Place
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4.84University of Washington0.620.1%1st Place
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8.13Western Washington University-0.570.0%1st Place
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6.25Western Washington University0.080.1%1st Place
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10.88Oregon State University-1.460.0%1st Place
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9.49University of Oregon-1.010.0%1st Place
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10.06Western Washington University-1.180.0%1st Place
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13.39University of Victoria-2.520.0%1st Place
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13.23Oregon State University-2.470.0%1st Place
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14.74University of Oregon-3.340.0%1st Place
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9.88University of Victoria-1.090.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucien Freemesser | 15.0% | 14.8% | 12.0% | 12.7% | 11.0% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Owen Thomas | 14.8% | 14.7% | 12.4% | 11.0% | 11.0% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maxwell Miller | 12.0% | 9.7% | 12.0% | 9.6% | 11.8% | 10.1% | 10.6% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Hurley | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 10.6% | 11.0% | 8.2% | 11.4% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 3.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Oliver Nairn | 14.8% | 14.0% | 13.8% | 11.8% | 11.2% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emily Avey | 4.0% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 11.6% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Erin Pamplin | 14.9% | 12.2% | 12.2% | 11.5% | 9.4% | 11.0% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kira Blumhagen | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 10.9% | 10.4% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Gerber | 7.5% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Hunter Wheaton | 1.3% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 10.5% | 10.9% | 17.1% | 14.8% | 9.3% | 1.6% |
| Rowan Clinch | 2.9% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 10.7% | 11.1% | 14.3% | 11.0% | 7.6% | 3.2% | 0.8% |
| Claire Jablonski | 1.9% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 10.9% | 11.3% | 13.5% | 10.5% | 5.9% | 1.5% |
| Zoe Folsetter | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 9.5% | 19.7% | 26.1% | 20.0% |
| Aaron Heard | 0.4% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 10.5% | 20.1% | 25.3% | 17.7% |
| Audrey Lillie | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 7.9% | 21.0% | 57.0% |
| Ethan Lowenthal | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 11.7% | 10.9% | 12.5% | 9.0% | 5.5% | 0.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.