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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stevens Institute of Technology2.02+4.01vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.32+0.55vs Predicted
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3Villanova University1.59+2.87vs Predicted
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4Columbia University2.43+0.11vs Predicted
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5Cornell University2.77-1.52vs Predicted
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6Cornell University2.09-1.22vs Predicted
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7Princeton University1.10-0.17vs Predicted
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9University of Buffalo0.10-0.14vs Predicted
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10Syracuse University0.43-1.74vs Predicted
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11Fordham University1.07-4.05vs Predicted
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12Ocean County College-0.78-1.59vs Predicted
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13Penn State University-1.19-2.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.01Stevens Institute of Technology2.020.1%1st Place
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2.55Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.320.3%1st Place
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5.87Villanova University1.590.1%1st Place
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4.11Columbia University2.430.1%1st Place
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3.48Cornell University2.770.2%1st Place
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4.78Cornell University2.090.1%1st Place
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6.83Princeton University1.100.0%1st Place
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8.86University of Buffalo0.100.0%1st Place
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8.26Syracuse University0.430.0%1st Place
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6.95Fordham University1.070.0%1st Place
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10.41Ocean County College-0.780.0%1st Place
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10.89Penn State University-1.190.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian Geary | 9.3% | 8.8% | 11.1% | 12.2% | 15.3% | 14.3% | 13.2% | 8.3% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Elliott Morrill | 31.8% | 26.3% | 18.0% | 10.3% | 8.7% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Domenic Re | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 12.3% | 10.1% | 12.1% | 15.3% | 14.0% | 10.1% | 5.1% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Irene Jacqz | 12.7% | 14.6% | 17.1% | 15.0% | 13.6% | 11.6% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Duncan Howes | 19.2% | 18.1% | 18.3% | 16.2% | 11.5% | 7.9% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Liem | 9.4% | 11.1% | 12.1% | 13.8% | 15.0% | 13.6% | 11.0% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Gavin Schlissel | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 11.1% | 12.9% | 15.7% | 13.8% | 11.4% | 4.3% | 1.3% |
| Stephanie Rosenbaum | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 15.2% | 23.8% | 20.7% | 7.8% |
| Harmen Rockler | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 7.7% | 10.6% | 12.1% | 20.0% | 20.7% | 12.7% | 3.1% |
| Matthew Winter | 3.2% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 11.0% | 12.9% | 16.7% | 16.1% | 11.2% | 4.2% | 0.8% |
| Geneva O'Brien | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 14.2% | 32.3% | 33.8% |
| Shannon Kenyon | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 8.4% | 24.1% | 53.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.