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📊 Prediction Accuracy
5.9%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University1.98+5.38vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.28+3.00vs Predicted
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3Webb Institute1.43+4.64vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland2.05+2.55vs Predicted
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5Hampton University0.72+6.74vs Predicted
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6SUNY Maritime College0.29+6.15vs Predicted
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7Christopher Newport University0.65+5.00vs Predicted
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8Washington College0.20+4.88vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.77-2.28vs Predicted
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10Cornell University1.68-2.83vs Predicted
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11Georgetown University2.42-6.42vs Predicted
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12Old Dominion University1.59-4.65vs Predicted
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13Princeton University0.27-1.25vs Predicted
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14University of Pennsylvania1.71-7.36vs Predicted
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15George Washington University0.93-5.07vs Predicted
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16Drexel University0.47-4.67vs Predicted
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17University of Virginia-0.34-3.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.38Fordham University1.989.3%1st Place
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5.0U. S. Naval Academy2.2813.5%1st Place
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7.64Webb Institute1.437.2%1st Place
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6.55St. Mary's College of Maryland2.058.0%1st Place
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11.74Hampton University0.721.8%1st Place
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12.15SUNY Maritime College0.291.7%1st Place
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12.0Christopher Newport University0.651.4%1st Place
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12.88Washington College0.201.1%1st Place
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6.72Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.778.2%1st Place
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7.17Cornell University1.686.5%1st Place
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4.58Georgetown University2.4216.8%1st Place
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7.35Old Dominion University1.597.0%1st Place
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11.75Princeton University0.271.5%1st Place
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6.64University of Pennsylvania1.718.8%1st Place
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9.93George Washington University0.933.4%1st Place
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11.33Drexel University0.472.5%1st Place
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13.18University of Virginia-0.341.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Jacob Zils | 9.3% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
Jack Welburn | 13.5% | 14.0% | 12.2% | 11.8% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Payne Donaldson | 7.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
Charlie Anderson | 8.0% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
Stefano Palamara | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 11.5% | 13.0% | 8.8% |
Marcus Adam | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 11.1% | 12.3% | 12.3% | 13.6% |
Grace Watlington | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 11.2% | 11.9% | 11.9% |
Kennedy Jones | 1.1% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 10.1% | 12.8% | 15.3% | 19.3% |
Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 8.2% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
J.J. Smith | 6.5% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
Enzo Menditto | 16.8% | 14.1% | 12.6% | 12.5% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Diogo Silva | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.5% |
Jasper Waldman | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 12.3% | 11.1% | 10.1% |
Benjamin Honig | 8.8% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
Avery Canavan | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 5.6% | 3.0% |
Iain Shand | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 11.1% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 8.6% |
Maxwell Penders | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 11.1% | 16.4% | 23.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.