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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington-1.04+7.29vs Predicted
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2Oregon State University-1.15+6.71vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University-0.68+4.09vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University-0.13+1.46vs Predicted
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5University of Washington-0.00-0.05vs Predicted
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6University of Washington-0.48+0.55vs Predicted
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8University of Oregon-1.38+1.67vs Predicted
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9University of Oregon-0.78-1.61vs Predicted
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10Western Washington University-1.01-1.78vs Predicted
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11Western Washington University-1.21-1.89vs Predicted
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12University of Washington-0.73-4.72vs Predicted
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13University of Victoria-0.32-7.00vs Predicted
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15University of Washington-1.20-6.00vs Predicted
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16Western Washington University-1.72-5.34vs Predicted
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17University of Oregon-2.42-4.13vs Predicted
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18University of Victoria-3.43-3.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.29University of Washington-1.040.0%1st Place
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8.71Oregon State University-1.150.0%1st Place
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7.09Western Washington University-0.680.1%1st Place
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5.46Western Washington University-0.130.1%1st Place
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4.95University of Washington-0.000.1%1st Place
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6.55University of Washington-0.480.1%1st Place
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9.67University of Oregon-1.380.0%1st Place
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7.39University of Oregon-0.780.1%1st Place
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8.22Western Washington University-1.010.1%1st Place
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9.11Western Washington University-1.210.0%1st Place
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7.28University of Washington-0.730.1%1st Place
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6.0University of Victoria-0.320.1%1st Place
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9.0University of Washington-1.200.0%1st Place
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10.66Western Washington University-1.720.0%1st Place
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12.87University of Oregon-2.420.0%1st Place
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14.75University of Victoria-3.430.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Enzo Dougherty | 3.9% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 0.6% |
| Marty Weigel | 3.9% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 4.5% | 2.0% |
| Cooper Snell | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.3% |
| Ellie Blakemore | 11.2% | 12.4% | 11.3% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Pentimonti | 14.5% | 12.9% | 12.6% | 11.7% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jaden Unruh | 8.1% | 8.3% | 10.7% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Sadie Creemer | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 12.2% | 10.0% | 1.8% |
| Joseph Qualtier | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 0.2% |
| Anna Morrow | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 1.2% |
| Allison Sasaki | 4.8% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 1.5% |
| Oliver Sommer | 8.9% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Nathan Lemke | 11.0% | 9.6% | 10.9% | 10.4% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Lauren McClintock | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 1.6% |
| Peter Hall | 3.0% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 14.7% | 14.5% | 4.8% |
| Ryan Tuttle | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 6.1% | 9.4% | 11.0% | 29.2% | 20.7% |
| Nicola Fretenberg | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 7.0% | 13.2% | 64.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.