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📊 Prediction Accuracy
18.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Oregon State University-1.15+7.65vs Predicted
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2University of Washington-0.00+2.93vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University-0.13+2.34vs Predicted
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5Western Washington University-0.68+2.29vs Predicted
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6University of Oregon-0.78+1.53vs Predicted
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7University of Victoria-0.32-0.97vs Predicted
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8University of Washington-1.04+0.48vs Predicted
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10University of Washington-0.48-3.71vs Predicted
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11Western Washington University-1.21-2.02vs Predicted
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12Western Washington University-1.01-3.66vs Predicted
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13University of Washington-1.20-4.07vs Predicted
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14University of Washington-0.73-6.63vs Predicted
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15University of Oregon-1.38-5.43vs Predicted
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16Western Washington University-1.72-5.35vs Predicted
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18University of Oregon-2.42-5.13vs Predicted
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19University of Victoria-3.43-4.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.65Oregon State University-1.150.0%1st Place
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4.93University of Washington-0.000.1%1st Place
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5.34Western Washington University-0.130.1%1st Place
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7.29Western Washington University-0.680.1%1st Place
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7.53University of Oregon-0.780.1%1st Place
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6.03University of Victoria-0.320.1%1st Place
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8.48University of Washington-1.040.1%1st Place
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6.29University of Washington-0.480.1%1st Place
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8.98Western Washington University-1.210.0%1st Place
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8.34Western Washington University-1.010.1%1st Place
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8.93University of Washington-1.200.1%1st Place
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7.37University of Washington-0.730.1%1st Place
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9.57University of Oregon-1.380.0%1st Place
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10.65Western Washington University-1.720.0%1st Place
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12.87University of Oregon-2.420.0%1st Place
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14.76University of Victoria-3.430.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marty Weigel | 3.8% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 5.0% | 0.8% |
| Thomas Pentimonti | 14.4% | 15.4% | 13.6% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ellie Blakemore | 13.5% | 10.9% | 11.1% | 9.1% | 12.5% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Cooper Snell | 6.6% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 5.8% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 0.2% |
| Joseph Qualtier | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Nathan Lemke | 9.3% | 10.6% | 10.7% | 10.6% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Enzo Dougherty | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 4.3% | 1.1% |
| Jaden Unruh | 9.9% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Allison Sasaki | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 5.5% | 1.8% |
| Anna Morrow | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 0.8% |
| Lauren McClintock | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 1.4% |
| Oliver Sommer | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 0.4% |
| Sadie Creemer | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 11.0% | 8.1% | 2.4% |
| Peter Hall | 2.8% | 1.7% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 10.8% | 13.4% | 14.2% | 5.3% |
| Ryan Tuttle | 1.5% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 12.2% | 28.4% | 21.0% |
| Nicola Fretenberg | 0.1% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 6.2% | 14.4% | 64.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.