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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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2University of Victoria-0.32+3.81vs Predicted
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3University of Washington-0.00+1.93vs Predicted
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4Oregon State University-1.15+4.84vs Predicted
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5University of Washington-0.48+1.62vs Predicted
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6Western Washington University-0.68+1.16vs Predicted
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7University of Oregon-0.78+0.62vs Predicted
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8University of Washington-1.20+1.07vs Predicted
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9Western Washington University-0.13-3.85vs Predicted
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10University of Washington-1.04-1.66vs Predicted
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12University of Washington-0.73-4.62vs Predicted
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13Western Washington University-1.01-4.73vs Predicted
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14Western Washington University-1.21-5.00vs Predicted
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15University of Oregon-1.38-5.42vs Predicted
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16Western Washington University-1.72-5.37vs Predicted
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17University of Victoria-3.43-2.27vs Predicted
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18University of Oregon-2.42-5.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.81University of Victoria-0.320.1%1st Place
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4.93University of Washington-0.000.1%1st Place
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8.84Oregon State University-1.150.0%1st Place
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6.62University of Washington-0.480.1%1st Place
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7.16Western Washington University-0.680.1%1st Place
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7.62University of Oregon-0.780.1%1st Place
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9.07University of Washington-1.200.0%1st Place
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5.15Western Washington University-0.130.1%1st Place
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8.34University of Washington-1.040.0%1st Place
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7.38University of Washington-0.730.1%1st Place
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8.27Western Washington University-1.010.1%1st Place
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9.0Western Washington University-1.210.0%1st Place
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9.58University of Oregon-1.380.0%1st Place
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10.63Western Washington University-1.720.0%1st Place
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14.73University of Victoria-3.430.0%1st Place
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12.85University of Oregon-2.420.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nathan Lemke | 10.4% | 11.7% | 10.3% | 10.7% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Pentimonti | 15.0% | 14.4% | 12.2% | 12.0% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Marty Weigel | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 1.1% |
| Jaden Unruh | 7.9% | 10.1% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Cooper Snell | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Qualtier | 5.4% | 5.5% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 0.5% |
| Lauren McClintock | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 10.6% | 9.4% | 5.6% | 2.1% |
| Ellie Blakemore | 14.2% | 12.1% | 11.9% | 10.7% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Enzo Dougherty | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 1.3% |
| Oliver Sommer | 7.3% | 5.5% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Anna Morrow | 7.0% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 4.3% | 0.6% |
| Allison Sasaki | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 1.0% |
| Sadie Creemer | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 2.9% |
| Peter Hall | 2.9% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 15.0% | 13.0% | 5.5% |
| Nicola Fretenberg | 0.3% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 6.0% | 13.4% | 65.9% |
| Ryan Tuttle | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 7.7% | 14.2% | 29.6% | 18.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.