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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1The Citadel0.20+2.66vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University1.48+0.01vs Predicted
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3Clemson University-0.80+2.47vs Predicted
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4Florida Institute of Technology0.78-1.24vs Predicted
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5University of Virginia-1.02+0.68vs Predicted
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7Catholic University of America-1.56-0.24vs Predicted
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8University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.19-1.83vs Predicted
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9University of Florida-0.88-3.42vs Predicted
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10Embry-Riddle University-1.62-3.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.66The Citadel0.200.1%1st Place
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2.01North Carolina State University1.480.4%1st Place
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5.47Clemson University-0.800.0%1st Place
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2.76Florida Institute of Technology0.780.2%1st Place
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5.68University of Virginia-1.020.0%1st Place
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6.76Catholic University of America-1.560.0%1st Place
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6.17University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.190.0%1st Place
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5.58University of Florida-0.880.0%1st Place
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6.91Embry-Riddle University-1.620.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kenneth Buck | 14.3% | 15.0% | 20.2% | 19.1% | 13.7% | 9.9% | 5.9% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Robert Chase | 43.3% | 29.4% | 15.3% | 7.4% | 3.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Houseal | 4.3% | 5.9% | 10.0% | 11.9% | 16.0% | 16.3% | 16.8% | 11.4% | 7.4% |
| Brendan Smucker | 22.6% | 26.5% | 24.2% | 14.0% | 6.9% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| James Unger | 3.4% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 12.5% | 13.7% | 15.6% | 12.8% | 15.9% | 10.7% |
| Benedict Gorman | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 6.9% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 16.9% | 20.9% | 25.5% |
| Torin Stremlau | 3.3% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 9.5% | 11.2% | 17.1% | 15.4% | 18.9% | 14.7% |
| Marco Distel | 4.3% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 12.7% | 15.1% | 15.5% | 16.0% | 13.3% | 8.8% |
| Rylie Cataldo | 2.3% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 6.0% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 14.5% | 17.7% | 32.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.