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📊 Prediction Accuracy
88.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Florida Institute of Technology0.78+1.79vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University1.48+0.05vs Predicted
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3The Citadel0.20+0.65vs Predicted
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4University of Florida-0.88+1.48vs Predicted
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5Clemson University-0.80+0.30vs Predicted
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6University of Virginia-1.02-0.18vs Predicted
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7Embry-Riddle University-1.62-0.04vs Predicted
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8University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.19-1.85vs Predicted
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10Catholic University of America-1.56-3.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.79Florida Institute of Technology0.780.2%1st Place
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2.05North Carolina State University1.480.4%1st Place
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3.65The Citadel0.200.1%1st Place
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5.48University of Florida-0.880.0%1st Place
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5.3Clemson University-0.800.1%1st Place
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5.82University of Virginia-1.020.0%1st Place
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6.96Embry-Riddle University-1.620.0%1st Place
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6.15University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.190.0%1st Place
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6.79Catholic University of America-1.560.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brendan Smucker | 23.9% | 23.8% | 24.0% | 13.4% | 9.0% | 4.7% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Robert Chase | 42.5% | 30.0% | 14.3% | 8.1% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kenneth Buck | 12.6% | 17.3% | 19.6% | 19.0% | 15.5% | 9.3% | 4.8% | 1.3% | 0.6% |
| Marco Distel | 4.4% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 13.8% | 14.6% | 17.1% | 14.7% | 12.7% | 7.9% |
| Jack Houseal | 5.1% | 6.8% | 12.4% | 13.1% | 15.1% | 13.9% | 14.4% | 11.0% | 8.2% |
| James Unger | 4.0% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 11.6% | 14.0% | 15.7% | 18.3% | 13.9% | 10.9% |
| Rylie Cataldo | 2.2% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 11.2% | 14.9% | 23.4% | 28.8% |
| Torin Stremlau | 2.9% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 14.2% | 13.3% | 16.5% | 18.0% | 15.5% |
| Benedict Gorman | 2.4% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 13.3% | 15.3% | 19.6% | 28.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.