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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University1.48+0.93vs Predicted
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2The Citadel0.20+1.81vs Predicted
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3Florida Institute of Technology0.78-0.23vs Predicted
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4University of Virginia-1.02+1.77vs Predicted
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5University of Florida-0.88+0.44vs Predicted
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6Clemson University-0.80-0.57vs Predicted
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8Embry-Riddle University-1.62-1.05vs Predicted
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9Catholic University of America-1.56-2.23vs Predicted
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10University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.19-3.85vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.93North Carolina State University1.480.5%1st Place
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3.81The Citadel0.200.1%1st Place
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2.77Florida Institute of Technology0.780.2%1st Place
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5.77University of Virginia-1.020.0%1st Place
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5.44University of Florida-0.880.0%1st Place
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5.43Clemson University-0.800.0%1st Place
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6.95Embry-Riddle University-1.620.0%1st Place
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6.77Catholic University of America-1.560.0%1st Place
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6.15University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.190.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Chase | 46.4% | 29.6% | 13.1% | 7.9% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kenneth Buck | 10.2% | 15.0% | 23.8% | 16.5% | 16.0% | 10.3% | 5.0% | 2.2% | 1.0% |
| Brendan Smucker | 23.5% | 25.5% | 21.6% | 16.1% | 8.7% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| James Unger | 3.9% | 5.0% | 7.8% | 12.1% | 13.6% | 16.9% | 15.4% | 14.0% | 11.3% |
| Marco Distel | 4.3% | 7.0% | 10.0% | 14.4% | 13.7% | 15.3% | 13.7% | 12.2% | 9.4% |
| Jack Houseal | 4.1% | 6.7% | 10.2% | 12.0% | 15.7% | 15.7% | 17.1% | 11.8% | 6.7% |
| Rylie Cataldo | 2.0% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 16.2% | 21.0% | 29.8% |
| Benedict Gorman | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 12.1% | 15.4% | 18.8% | 28.0% |
| Torin Stremlau | 3.3% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 13.1% | 15.5% | 15.8% | 19.9% | 13.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.