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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University1.48+0.82vs Predicted
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3Florida Institute of Technology0.78-0.25vs Predicted
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4Clemson University-0.80+1.26vs Predicted
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5University of Virginia-1.02+0.57vs Predicted
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6University of Florida-0.88-0.78vs Predicted
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7University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.19-1.04vs Predicted
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8Catholic University of America-1.56-1.32vs Predicted
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9The Citadel-0.68-3.98vs Predicted
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10Embry-Riddle University-1.62-3.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.82North Carolina State University1.480.5%1st Place
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2.75Florida Institute of Technology0.780.2%1st Place
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5.26Clemson University-0.800.0%1st Place
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5.57University of Virginia-1.020.0%1st Place
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5.22University of Florida-0.880.0%1st Place
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5.96University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.190.0%1st Place
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6.68Catholic University of America-1.560.0%1st Place
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5.02The Citadel-0.680.1%1st Place
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6.71Embry-Riddle University-1.620.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Chase | 51.3% | 27.1% | 13.4% | 5.6% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Smucker | 21.1% | 30.4% | 22.6% | 12.6% | 7.5% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Jack Houseal | 4.8% | 6.8% | 11.1% | 15.3% | 15.1% | 14.8% | 14.8% | 10.1% | 7.2% |
| James Unger | 3.8% | 6.9% | 9.7% | 12.6% | 14.8% | 14.2% | 13.1% | 15.0% | 9.9% |
| Marco Distel | 4.5% | 9.0% | 12.9% | 13.8% | 13.7% | 13.2% | 12.8% | 12.1% | 8.0% |
| Torin Stremlau | 3.4% | 4.9% | 7.6% | 11.0% | 13.0% | 14.0% | 16.7% | 15.0% | 14.4% |
| Benedict Gorman | 2.3% | 3.0% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 9.6% | 12.7% | 14.9% | 19.5% | 25.7% |
| Henry Parker | 5.9% | 8.4% | 12.3% | 15.2% | 16.6% | 14.3% | 11.1% | 10.3% | 5.9% |
| Rylie Cataldo | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 12.7% | 14.7% | 17.5% | 28.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.