Race 1A

fall-fury

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

36.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Michael Lee 45.9% 28.5% 16.6% 6.0% 2.5% 0.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Charles Diamond 6.4% 8.9% 14.6% 18.1% 18.0% 13.3% 10.2% 5.6% 4.2% 0.7% 0.0%
Phil Holt 3.9% 7.3% 7.4% 12.6% 15.3% 17.0% 15.1% 12.0% 5.8% 2.9% 0.7%
Harrison Burton 25.1% 30.7% 21.3% 13.5% 5.3% 3.0% 0.6% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Patrick Farrell 4.4% 5.8% 8.8% 12.0% 14.0% 15.6% 14.3% 12.9% 7.7% 3.7% 0.8%
Maggie Kloote 0.1% 0.4% 1.0% 1.7% 1.9% 3.0% 4.0% 6.9% 10.9% 14.4% 55.7%
Bill Weiland 8.9% 11.3% 17.2% 18.7% 16.7% 13.1% 7.2% 4.3% 2.0% 0.6% 0.0%
Eric Sauter 1.2% 1.8% 3.2% 3.4% 5.6% 8.3% 12.4% 13.8% 17.2% 20.8% 12.3%
Katy Aiello 1.5% 2.5% 2.9% 4.1% 7.0% 9.2% 11.9% 16.2% 18.7% 16.7% 9.3%
Laine Klopfenstein 1.3% 2.0% 4.3% 4.9% 6.8% 9.3% 12.4% 13.7% 16.4% 19.4% 9.5%
Tony Michuda 1.3% 0.8% 2.7% 5.0% 6.9% 7.9% 11.7% 14.1% 17.1% 20.8% 11.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.