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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.45+5.05vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University1.94+6.12vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University2.40+3.15vs Predicted
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4Boston College2.56+2.74vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.22+2.45vs Predicted
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6Fordham University1.54+3.32vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.55+3.01vs Predicted
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8Yale University1.59+1.31vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island1.05+2.06vs Predicted
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10Cornell University1.79-1.75vs Predicted
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11Tufts University2.12-3.89vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College1.18-1.46vs Predicted
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13University of Wisconsin1.14-1.95vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.73-4.22vs Predicted
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15North Carolina State University1.78-6.87vs Predicted
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16University of Miami2.32-9.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.05Harvard University2.4511.2%1st Place
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8.12Roger Williams University1.946.5%1st Place
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6.15Georgetown University2.4010.8%1st Place
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6.74Boston College2.568.1%1st Place
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7.45Brown University2.228.6%1st Place
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9.32Fordham University1.544.6%1st Place
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10.01Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.553.6%1st Place
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9.31Yale University1.594.5%1st Place
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11.06University of Rhode Island1.052.8%1st Place
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8.25Cornell University1.796.3%1st Place
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7.11Tufts University2.127.6%1st Place
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10.54Bowdoin College1.182.3%1st Place
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11.05University of Wisconsin1.142.5%1st Place
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9.78U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.734.5%1st Place
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8.13North Carolina State University1.786.4%1st Place
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6.92University of Miami2.329.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robby Meek | 11.2% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Mathieu Dale | 6.5% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 2.9% |
| Mateo Di Blasi | 10.8% | 10.5% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 8.1% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.2% |
| Mason Stang | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.5% |
| Lucas Thress | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 6.9% |
| Matthew Elliott | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 10.2% |
| Mathias Reimer | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.9% |
| Olin Guck | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 10.8% | 12.7% | 17.4% |
| Sophia Devling | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 3.4% |
| Trevor Davis | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 2.1% | 1.4% |
| Ethan Danielson | 2.3% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 12.0% | 14.1% |
| Charlie Herrick | 2.5% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 12.8% | 18.8% |
| Luke Zylinski | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 9.3% |
| Adam Larson | 6.4% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.4% |
| Atlee Kohl | 9.7% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 1.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.