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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Florida Institute of Technology0.78+1.62vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University1.48-0.08vs Predicted
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3The Citadel-0.68+2.08vs Predicted
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4Clemson University-0.80+1.14vs Predicted
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5University of Florida-0.88+0.26vs Predicted
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6University of Virginia-1.02-0.38vs Predicted
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7University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.19-1.01vs Predicted
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9Catholic University of America-1.56-2.37vs Predicted
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10Embry-Riddle University-1.62-3.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.62Florida Institute of Technology0.780.3%1st Place
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1.92North Carolina State University1.480.5%1st Place
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5.08The Citadel-0.680.1%1st Place
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5.14Clemson University-0.800.0%1st Place
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5.26University of Florida-0.880.1%1st Place
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5.62University of Virginia-1.020.0%1st Place
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5.99University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.190.0%1st Place
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6.63Catholic University of America-1.560.0%1st Place
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6.74Embry-Riddle University-1.620.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brendan Smucker | 25.9% | 28.1% | 22.0% | 12.6% | 6.5% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Robert Chase | 45.8% | 31.0% | 13.3% | 6.3% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Henry Parker | 5.1% | 7.3% | 12.7% | 15.2% | 17.3% | 14.0% | 13.6% | 9.1% | 5.7% |
| Jack Houseal | 4.8% | 8.8% | 11.4% | 15.4% | 16.4% | 13.7% | 11.6% | 10.9% | 7.0% |
| Marco Distel | 5.1% | 7.0% | 14.1% | 13.8% | 14.2% | 11.0% | 14.8% | 11.3% | 8.7% |
| James Unger | 4.3% | 5.8% | 8.4% | 12.8% | 14.1% | 16.3% | 14.8% | 13.4% | 10.1% |
| Torin Stremlau | 3.5% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 10.2% | 12.6% | 15.6% | 14.8% | 17.6% | 13.6% |
| Benedict Gorman | 2.9% | 3.1% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 12.7% | 14.5% | 19.2% | 25.8% |
| Rylie Cataldo | 2.6% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 12.4% | 14.7% | 18.3% | 29.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.