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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Florida Institute of Technology0.78+1.62vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University1.48-0.08vs Predicted
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3University of Virginia-1.02+2.71vs Predicted
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4University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.19+1.91vs Predicted
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5The Citadel-0.68-0.12vs Predicted
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6University of Florida-0.88-0.63vs Predicted
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7Clemson University-0.80-1.78vs Predicted
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9Embry-Riddle University-1.62-2.27vs Predicted
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10Catholic University of America-1.56-3.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.62Florida Institute of Technology0.780.3%1st Place
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1.92North Carolina State University1.480.5%1st Place
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5.71University of Virginia-1.020.0%1st Place
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5.91University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.190.0%1st Place
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4.88The Citadel-0.680.1%1st Place
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5.37University of Florida-0.880.1%1st Place
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5.22Clemson University-0.800.1%1st Place
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6.73Embry-Riddle University-1.620.0%1st Place
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6.64Catholic University of America-1.560.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brendan Smucker | 26.2% | 27.6% | 22.6% | 11.8% | 7.2% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Robert Chase | 45.5% | 30.6% | 14.3% | 6.4% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Unger | 3.1% | 5.9% | 9.3% | 11.5% | 14.6% | 15.0% | 15.7% | 14.5% | 10.4% |
| Torin Stremlau | 3.5% | 4.9% | 7.6% | 12.8% | 11.9% | 16.2% | 13.4% | 14.6% | 15.1% |
| Henry Parker | 6.2% | 9.4% | 16.2% | 15.4% | 12.5% | 13.4% | 11.0% | 9.8% | 6.1% |
| Marco Distel | 5.1% | 6.2% | 10.1% | 13.3% | 16.1% | 16.0% | 14.0% | 11.6% | 7.6% |
| Jack Houseal | 5.0% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 14.7% | 18.2% | 14.0% | 12.2% | 12.4% | 6.0% |
| Rylie Cataldo | 2.7% | 3.3% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 10.7% | 15.2% | 18.4% | 28.8% |
| Benedict Gorman | 2.7% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 11.0% | 17.2% | 18.4% | 26.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.