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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Florida-1.10+4.54vs Predicted
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2The Citadel0.34+1.00vs Predicted
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3Embry-Riddle University0.06+0.36vs Predicted
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4Duke University-1.25+1.74vs Predicted
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5North Carolina State University-0.35-1.03vs Predicted
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6Florida Institute of Technology-0.95-0.75vs Predicted
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7Clemson University-0.36-2.92vs Predicted
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8Catholic University of America-2.20-0.55vs Predicted
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9University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.70-2.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.54University of Florida-1.100.1%1st Place
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3.0The Citadel0.340.2%1st Place
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3.36Embry-Riddle University0.060.2%1st Place
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5.74Duke University-1.250.1%1st Place
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3.97North Carolina State University-0.350.1%1st Place
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5.25Florida Institute of Technology-0.950.1%1st Place
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4.08Clemson University-0.360.1%1st Place
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7.45Catholic University of America-2.200.0%1st Place
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6.62University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.700.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ayden Feria | 6.8% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 12.1% | 13.5% | 16.5% | 17.6% | 7.5% |
| Andrew Tollefson | 24.0% | 24.5% | 16.8% | 14.2% | 9.9% | 5.8% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Erica Johnson | 21.0% | 18.0% | 17.3% | 15.5% | 13.2% | 8.3% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 0.2% |
| Jack Wigmore | 5.7% | 5.2% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 12.8% | 13.5% | 16.4% | 14.4% | 12.9% |
| John Richards | 14.7% | 17.0% | 15.4% | 13.4% | 12.5% | 11.5% | 8.9% | 5.0% | 1.6% |
| Annslee Maloy | 7.4% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 12.2% | 12.6% | 15.4% | 15.8% | 11.5% | 7.3% |
| Antonio Priskich | 13.4% | 13.4% | 16.2% | 15.8% | 13.3% | 12.9% | 9.7% | 3.6% | 1.7% |
| Maylis de Saint Victor | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 8.1% | 10.5% | 19.4% | 46.0% |
| Luke Novak | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 9.0% | 11.0% | 14.9% | 24.9% | 22.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.