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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University-0.35+3.05vs Predicted
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2The Citadel0.34+1.01vs Predicted
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3Clemson University-0.36+1.13vs Predicted
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4Embry-Riddle University0.06-0.80vs Predicted
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5Florida Institute of Technology-0.95+0.11vs Predicted
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6Catholic University of America-2.20+1.44vs Predicted
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7University of Florida-1.10-1.43vs Predicted
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8University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.70-1.35vs Predicted
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10Duke University-1.25-4.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.05North Carolina State University-0.350.1%1st Place
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3.01The Citadel0.340.2%1st Place
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4.13Clemson University-0.360.1%1st Place
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3.2Embry-Riddle University0.060.2%1st Place
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5.11Florida Institute of Technology-0.950.1%1st Place
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7.44Catholic University of America-2.200.0%1st Place
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5.57University of Florida-1.100.1%1st Place
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6.65University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.700.0%1st Place
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5.84Duke University-1.250.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Richards | 14.5% | 15.1% | 12.9% | 15.5% | 15.1% | 12.3% | 8.1% | 5.3% | 1.2% |
| Andrew Tollefson | 23.3% | 24.0% | 18.1% | 14.9% | 9.0% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Antonio Priskich | 14.6% | 12.3% | 13.8% | 15.3% | 15.6% | 12.6% | 10.0% | 4.8% | 1.0% |
| Erica Johnson | 21.9% | 19.8% | 19.8% | 14.6% | 10.8% | 7.2% | 4.2% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Annslee Maloy | 7.4% | 10.4% | 11.2% | 11.8% | 13.5% | 12.6% | 13.6% | 11.9% | 7.6% |
| Maylis de Saint Victor | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 20.8% | 45.1% |
| Ayden Feria | 6.5% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 11.5% | 16.5% | 17.7% | 15.0% | 8.0% |
| Luke Novak | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 11.4% | 16.2% | 22.1% | 24.3% |
| Jack Wigmore | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 11.6% | 13.6% | 17.0% | 17.9% | 11.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.