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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Embry-Riddle University0.06+2.29vs Predicted
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2The Citadel0.34+1.03vs Predicted
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3North Carolina State University-0.35+1.09vs Predicted
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4Clemson University-0.36-0.01vs Predicted
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5Duke University-1.25+0.70vs Predicted
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6University of Florida-1.10-0.47vs Predicted
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7Florida Institute of Technology-0.95-1.71vs Predicted
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8University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.70-1.36vs Predicted
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10Catholic University of America-2.20-2.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.29Embry-Riddle University0.060.2%1st Place
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3.03The Citadel0.340.2%1st Place
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4.09North Carolina State University-0.350.1%1st Place
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3.99Clemson University-0.360.1%1st Place
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5.7Duke University-1.250.1%1st Place
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5.53University of Florida-1.100.1%1st Place
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5.29Florida Institute of Technology-0.950.1%1st Place
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6.64University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.700.0%1st Place
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7.44Catholic University of America-2.200.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erica Johnson | 22.0% | 19.6% | 16.1% | 15.8% | 11.8% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| Andrew Tollefson | 23.4% | 24.8% | 16.5% | 14.4% | 10.0% | 6.1% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| John Richards | 13.6% | 13.9% | 15.4% | 14.4% | 15.0% | 12.3% | 9.2% | 5.1% | 1.1% |
| Antonio Priskich | 13.7% | 15.1% | 16.2% | 15.0% | 14.0% | 11.7% | 9.3% | 3.6% | 1.4% |
| Jack Wigmore | 5.6% | 6.8% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 10.9% | 13.5% | 15.5% | 15.0% | 13.1% |
| Ayden Feria | 7.0% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 12.9% | 13.4% | 18.1% | 15.0% | 8.2% |
| Annslee Maloy | 7.6% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 12.9% | 17.7% | 14.2% | 13.5% | 6.3% |
| Luke Novak | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 14.9% | 25.1% | 23.0% |
| Maylis de Saint Victor | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 19.3% | 46.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.