← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1North Carolina State University-0.35+3.08vs Predicted
-
2Duke University-1.25+3.99vs Predicted
-
3The Citadel0.34-0.13vs Predicted
-
4Florida Institute of Technology-0.95+1.11vs Predicted
-
5Embry-Riddle University0.06-1.74vs Predicted
-
6University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.70+0.61vs Predicted
-
7Catholic University of America-2.20+0.50vs Predicted
-
8University of Florida-1.10-2.48vs Predicted
-
9Clemson University-0.36-4.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.08North Carolina State University-0.350.1%1st Place
-
5.99Duke University-1.250.0%1st Place
-
2.87The Citadel0.340.3%1st Place
-
5.11Florida Institute of Technology-0.950.1%1st Place
-
3.26Embry-Riddle University0.060.2%1st Place
-
6.61University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.700.0%1st Place
-
7.5Catholic University of America-2.200.0%1st Place
-
5.52University of Florida-1.100.1%1st Place
-
4.06Clemson University-0.360.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Richards | 13.1% | 14.4% | 15.3% | 15.4% | 15.0% | 11.8% | 8.7% | 5.0% | 1.3% |
| Jack Wigmore | 4.1% | 4.7% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 11.0% | 14.2% | 19.1% | 17.9% | 12.1% |
| Andrew Tollefson | 26.4% | 22.2% | 19.9% | 13.4% | 9.4% | 5.4% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Annslee Maloy | 7.1% | 9.0% | 11.3% | 11.9% | 14.6% | 14.9% | 14.0% | 11.1% | 6.1% |
| Erica Johnson | 22.4% | 22.1% | 15.5% | 14.0% | 10.4% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
| Luke Novak | 2.9% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 11.6% | 16.3% | 22.8% | 22.5% |
| Maylis de Saint Victor | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 7.2% | 10.0% | 19.6% | 47.7% |
| Ayden Feria | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 11.7% | 12.8% | 14.4% | 14.9% | 15.9% | 8.9% |
| Antonio Priskich | 14.4% | 13.9% | 14.7% | 14.7% | 14.6% | 12.7% | 9.2% | 5.0% | 0.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.