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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University-0.35+3.09vs Predicted
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2University of Florida-1.10+3.71vs Predicted
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3The Citadel0.34-0.11vs Predicted
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4Duke University-1.25+1.72vs Predicted
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5Embry-Riddle University0.06-1.75vs Predicted
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6Catholic University of America-2.20+1.43vs Predicted
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7Clemson University-0.36-2.92vs Predicted
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8University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.70-1.36vs Predicted
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10Florida Institute of Technology-0.95-4.80vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.09North Carolina State University-0.350.1%1st Place
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5.71University of Florida-1.100.0%1st Place
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2.89The Citadel0.340.3%1st Place
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5.72Duke University-1.250.1%1st Place
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3.25Embry-Riddle University0.060.2%1st Place
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7.43Catholic University of America-2.200.0%1st Place
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4.08Clemson University-0.360.1%1st Place
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6.64University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.700.0%1st Place
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5.2Florida Institute of Technology-0.950.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Richards | 12.8% | 15.2% | 14.0% | 16.8% | 12.5% | 14.4% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 1.3% |
| Ayden Feria | 4.8% | 5.4% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 13.1% | 15.0% | 16.3% | 16.8% | 9.1% |
| Andrew Tollefson | 26.9% | 22.2% | 18.3% | 14.1% | 9.1% | 5.9% | 2.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Jack Wigmore | 5.6% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 11.4% | 13.2% | 16.7% | 16.4% | 11.5% |
| Erica Johnson | 22.8% | 22.4% | 15.5% | 12.3% | 12.0% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 0.8% |
| Maylis de Saint Victor | 2.2% | 1.7% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 10.6% | 20.5% | 44.8% |
| Antonio Priskich | 12.4% | 14.8% | 15.8% | 14.5% | 16.4% | 11.7% | 8.1% | 5.2% | 1.1% |
| Luke Novak | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 16.8% | 20.3% | 25.8% |
| Annslee Maloy | 8.3% | 7.6% | 10.4% | 12.0% | 11.2% | 16.1% | 16.4% | 12.4% | 5.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.