Race 2A

fall-fury

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

54.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Harrison Burton 24.7% 31.8% 22.5% 13.0% 5.4% 1.7% 0.8% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Michael Lee 48.2% 28.9% 14.6% 6.0% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Phil Holt 4.4% 5.6% 9.6% 11.6% 15.4% 16.6% 15.1% 11.4% 7.2% 2.8% 0.3%
Charles Diamond 5.8% 8.5% 12.5% 19.3% 16.5% 15.1% 11.9% 6.5% 2.9% 0.8% 0.2%
Bill Weiland 7.4% 11.7% 16.7% 17.6% 17.3% 13.5% 8.1% 5.1% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1%
Patrick Farrell 3.4% 5.3% 9.2% 12.2% 15.3% 16.4% 13.4% 12.4% 7.6% 3.9% 0.9%
Maggie Kloote 0.4% 0.8% 1.6% 2.1% 2.5% 2.8% 2.9% 7.2% 11.1% 15.6% 53.0%
Tony Michuda 1.6% 1.4% 2.3% 4.5% 6.0% 7.5% 11.9% 12.6% 16.5% 22.2% 13.5%
Laine Klopfenstein 1.4% 2.1% 3.6% 4.0% 6.1% 8.6% 11.9% 15.5% 18.3% 16.6% 11.9%
Katy Aiello 1.4% 2.6% 3.6% 6.1% 7.6% 9.3% 12.2% 14.2% 17.6% 17.8% 7.6%
Eric Sauter 1.3% 1.3% 3.8% 3.6% 6.2% 8.0% 11.7% 15.1% 16.7% 19.8% 12.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.