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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.45+4.96vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.56+4.74vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University2.40+3.10vs Predicted
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4University of Miami2.32+3.09vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island1.05+5.85vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.55+4.01vs Predicted
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7Tufts University2.12+0.30vs Predicted
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8Brown University2.22-0.49vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University1.94-0.85vs Predicted
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10North Carolina State University1.78-1.88vs Predicted
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11Cornell University1.79-2.60vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.73-2.41vs Predicted
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13Yale University1.59-3.82vs Predicted
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14Fordham University1.54-4.67vs Predicted
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15University of Wisconsin1.14-3.94vs Predicted
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16Bowdoin College1.18-5.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.96Harvard University2.4510.8%1st Place
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6.74Boston College2.5610.1%1st Place
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6.1Georgetown University2.409.7%1st Place
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7.09University of Miami2.328.5%1st Place
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10.85University of Rhode Island1.053.4%1st Place
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10.01Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.553.1%1st Place
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7.3Tufts University2.128.9%1st Place
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7.51Brown University2.227.4%1st Place
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8.15Roger Williams University1.946.7%1st Place
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8.12North Carolina State University1.785.5%1st Place
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8.4Cornell University1.795.8%1st Place
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9.59U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.733.9%1st Place
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9.18Yale University1.595.9%1st Place
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9.33Fordham University1.545.0%1st Place
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11.06University of Wisconsin1.142.4%1st Place
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10.61Bowdoin College1.183.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robby Meek | 10.8% | 11.8% | 11.1% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 10.1% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
| Mateo Di Blasi | 9.7% | 9.2% | 10.6% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.6% |
| Atlee Kohl | 8.5% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 1.4% |
| Olin Guck | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 12.5% | 17.6% |
| Matthew Elliott | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 10.9% |
| Trevor Davis | 8.9% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 1.5% |
| Mason Stang | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 1.4% |
| Mathieu Dale | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 2.9% |
| Adam Larson | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 2.9% |
| Sophia Devling | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 4.1% |
| Luke Zylinski | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 9.3% |
| Mathias Reimer | 5.9% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 6.5% |
| Lucas Thress | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 6.0% |
| Charlie Herrick | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 13.9% | 17.6% |
| Ethan Danielson | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 11.3% | 16.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.