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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Western Washington University-0.13+4.10vs Predicted
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2University of Oregon-0.78+4.88vs Predicted
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3University of Washington0.66+0.25vs Predicted
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4University of Washington-1.04+3.82vs Predicted
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5Western Washington University-1.03+2.82vs Predicted
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6University of Washington-0.48+0.08vs Predicted
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7Western Washington University-0.96+0.54vs Predicted
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8University of Washington0.42-4.19vs Predicted
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9Western Washington University-0.46-3.01vs Predicted
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10Arizona State University-2.14+1.05vs Predicted
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11University of Oregon-1.52-1.63vs Predicted
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13University of Oregon-2.33-1.19vs Predicted
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14Western Washington University-1.72-3.93vs Predicted
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15University of Washington-1.88-4.68vs Predicted
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16Western Washington University-3.10-2.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.1Western Washington University-0.130.1%1st Place
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6.88University of Oregon-0.780.1%1st Place
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3.25University of Washington0.660.2%1st Place
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7.82University of Washington-1.040.0%1st Place
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7.82Western Washington University-1.030.0%1st Place
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6.08University of Washington-0.480.1%1st Place
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7.54Western Washington University-0.960.1%1st Place
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3.81University of Washington0.420.2%1st Place
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5.99Western Washington University-0.460.1%1st Place
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11.05Arizona State University-2.140.0%1st Place
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9.37University of Oregon-1.520.0%1st Place
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11.81University of Oregon-2.330.0%1st Place
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10.07Western Washington University-1.720.0%1st Place
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10.32University of Washington-1.880.0%1st Place
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13.09Western Washington University-3.100.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ellie Blakemore | 12.9% | 10.5% | 12.9% | 10.6% | 11.3% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Joseph Qualtier | 5.3% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Lucien Freemesser | 24.1% | 20.1% | 17.9% | 13.5% | 9.5% | 6.9% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kieran Lyons | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 1.0% |
| Matthew Lindburg | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 10.4% | 10.6% | 10.9% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 1.1% |
| Jaden Unruh | 7.7% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 10.9% | 11.7% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Ella Barnard | 6.5% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 11.0% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 2.7% | 0.5% |
| Brianne Abbott-Rogge | 19.7% | 18.4% | 13.9% | 13.2% | 11.8% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Yuri Berebitsky | 6.2% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 11.1% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Gardiner | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 10.8% | 15.6% | 17.6% | 12.2% |
| Aidan Clark | 2.2% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 10.6% | 11.7% | 10.0% | 7.6% | 5.2% |
| Kate Ryan | 1.4% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 15.7% | 22.0% | 18.3% |
| Peter Hall | 1.3% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 10.4% | 14.3% | 13.4% | 9.5% | 7.3% |
| Ethan Eschbach | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 10.6% | 12.1% | 13.9% | 13.4% | 6.9% |
| Aliyah Dodge | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 19.0% | 47.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.