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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington-1.04+6.69vs Predicted
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2University of Washington0.42+1.68vs Predicted
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3University of Washington0.66+0.25vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University-0.46+2.06vs Predicted
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6University of Oregon-0.78+1.07vs Predicted
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7Western Washington University-1.03+0.80vs Predicted
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8University of Washington-0.48-1.92vs Predicted
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9Arizona State University-2.14+2.05vs Predicted
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10University of Washington-1.88+0.36vs Predicted
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11University of Oregon-1.52-1.65vs Predicted
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12Western Washington University-0.96-4.39vs Predicted
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13Western Washington University-3.10+0.39vs Predicted
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14Western Washington University-0.13-8.67vs Predicted
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15Western Washington University-1.72-5.16vs Predicted
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16University of Oregon-2.33-4.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.69University of Washington-1.040.1%1st Place
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3.68University of Washington0.420.2%1st Place
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3.25University of Washington0.660.2%1st Place
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6.06Western Washington University-0.460.1%1st Place
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7.07University of Oregon-0.780.1%1st Place
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7.8Western Washington University-1.030.0%1st Place
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6.08University of Washington-0.480.1%1st Place
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11.05Arizona State University-2.140.0%1st Place
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10.36University of Washington-1.880.0%1st Place
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9.35University of Oregon-1.520.0%1st Place
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7.61Western Washington University-0.960.0%1st Place
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13.39Western Washington University-3.100.0%1st Place
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5.33Western Washington University-0.130.1%1st Place
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9.84Western Washington University-1.720.0%1st Place
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11.44University of Oregon-2.330.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kieran Lyons | 5.0% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 1.5% |
| Brianne Abbott-Rogge | 21.1% | 19.5% | 15.2% | 11.4% | 11.0% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucien Freemesser | 23.1% | 21.5% | 18.2% | 12.4% | 9.9% | 6.7% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Yuri Berebitsky | 8.0% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Joseph Qualtier | 5.5% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 11.7% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Matthew Lindburg | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 11.0% | 8.9% | 11.5% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 2.4% | 1.1% |
| Jaden Unruh | 8.7% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 11.5% | 11.1% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Patrick Gardiner | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 11.5% | 15.3% | 17.8% | 12.7% |
| Ethan Eschbach | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 11.9% | 11.2% | 13.1% | 14.4% | 6.5% |
| Aidan Clark | 3.1% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 10.8% | 11.2% | 11.8% | 11.0% | 7.8% | 3.6% |
| Ella Barnard | 4.2% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 10.7% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 2.6% | 1.6% |
| Aliyah Dodge | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 17.6% | 51.7% |
| Ellie Blakemore | 10.5% | 10.6% | 9.8% | 13.7% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Peter Hall | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 9.1% | 10.7% | 13.1% | 12.7% | 10.6% | 5.0% |
| Kate Ryan | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 8.0% | 10.8% | 14.9% | 21.2% | 15.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.