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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington-0.73+5.13vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University-0.91+3.61vs Predicted
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4University of Oregon-1.01+3.08vs Predicted
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5Western Washington University-1.21+2.80vs Predicted
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6Arizona State University-1.52+2.91vs Predicted
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7University of Washington-0.70-0.96vs Predicted
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8Western Washington University-1.18-0.37vs Predicted
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9University of Washington0.43-5.86vs Predicted
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10University of Washington-1.02-2.91vs Predicted
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11Arizona State University-1.79-1.19vs Predicted
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12Western Washington University-2.63+0.21vs Predicted
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13Western Washington University-1.66-3.41vs Predicted
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14University of Washington-1.29-5.61vs Predicted
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15Western Washington University-1.26-7.00vs Predicted
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16University of Oregon-2.42-4.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.13University of Washington-0.730.1%1st Place
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6.61Western Washington University-0.910.1%1st Place
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7.08University of Oregon-1.010.1%1st Place
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7.8Western Washington University-1.210.1%1st Place
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8.91Arizona State University-1.520.0%1st Place
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6.04University of Washington-0.700.1%1st Place
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7.63Western Washington University-1.180.1%1st Place
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3.14University of Washington0.430.3%1st Place
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7.09University of Washington-1.020.1%1st Place
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9.81Arizona State University-1.790.0%1st Place
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12.21Western Washington University-2.630.0%1st Place
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9.59Western Washington University-1.660.0%1st Place
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8.39University of Washington-1.290.0%1st Place
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8.0Western Washington University-1.260.0%1st Place
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11.57University of Oregon-2.420.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oliver Sommer | 9.3% | 9.5% | 11.0% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 0.6% |
| Julia Grams | 6.9% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 1.9% | 0.8% |
| Rowan Clinch | 7.0% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 9.7% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 1.1% |
| Allison Sasaki | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 1.7% |
| Jaquelyn Quintana | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 5.3% |
| Maya Outhred | 7.9% | 11.2% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Claire Jablonski | 7.7% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 2.3% |
| Maxwell Miller | 28.5% | 21.5% | 16.2% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Roy An | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 2.1% | 1.0% |
| Erin Welker | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 12.0% | 12.6% | 9.2% |
| Satya Fawcett | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 9.6% | 16.7% | 37.2% |
| Kerry Wier | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 10.6% | 7.4% |
| Kaia Armas | 4.4% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 4.1% |
| Jack Beeson | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 2.6% |
| Ryan Tuttle | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 10.5% | 18.4% | 26.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.