← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
2University of Oregon-1.01+5.02vs Predicted
-
3Western Washington University-1.21+4.63vs Predicted
-
4Western Washington University-1.18+3.62vs Predicted
-
5University of Washington-0.73+1.17vs Predicted
-
6University of Washington-1.02+1.28vs Predicted
-
7University of Washington-0.70-0.94vs Predicted
-
8Arizona State University-1.52+0.77vs Predicted
-
9University of Washington0.43-5.88vs Predicted
-
10University of Washington-1.29-1.98vs Predicted
-
11Western Washington University-1.66-1.58vs Predicted
-
12Western Washington University-0.91-5.16vs Predicted
-
13Arizona State University-1.79-2.96vs Predicted
-
14Western Washington University-1.26-5.72vs Predicted
-
15University of Oregon-2.42-3.34vs Predicted
-
16Western Washington University-2.63-3.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.02University of Oregon-1.010.1%1st Place
-
7.63Western Washington University-1.210.1%1st Place
-
7.62Western Washington University-1.180.1%1st Place
-
6.17University of Washington-0.730.1%1st Place
-
7.28University of Washington-1.020.1%1st Place
-
6.06University of Washington-0.700.1%1st Place
-
8.77Arizona State University-1.520.1%1st Place
-
3.12University of Washington0.430.3%1st Place
-
8.02University of Washington-1.290.0%1st Place
-
9.42Western Washington University-1.660.0%1st Place
-
6.84Western Washington University-0.910.1%1st Place
-
10.04Arizona State University-1.790.0%1st Place
-
8.28Western Washington University-1.260.0%1st Place
-
11.66University of Oregon-2.420.0%1st Place
-
12.08Western Washington University-2.630.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rowan Clinch | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 1.8% |
| Allison Sasaki | 5.6% | 4.8% | 8.9% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 2.0% |
| Claire Jablonski | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 1.6% |
| Oliver Sommer | 9.3% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
| Roy An | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 1.0% |
| Maya Outhred | 8.4% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 10.7% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.5% |
| Jaquelyn Quintana | 5.6% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 5.9% |
| Maxwell Miller | 28.3% | 22.8% | 14.8% | 10.9% | 8.4% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kaia Armas | 4.0% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 6.6% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 1.9% |
| Kerry Wier | 3.5% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 11.0% | 7.3% |
| Julia Grams | 7.3% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 1.1% |
| Erin Welker | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 14.0% | 12.1% | 9.8% |
| Jack Beeson | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 10.6% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 3.4% |
| Ryan Tuttle | 1.6% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 11.4% | 18.3% | 27.3% |
| Satya Fawcett | 1.0% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 10.1% | 16.6% | 36.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.