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📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington0.43+2.09vs Predicted
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2Western Washington University-1.18+5.51vs Predicted
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4University of Washington-0.73+2.09vs Predicted
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5University of Oregon-1.01+2.10vs Predicted
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6University of Washington-0.70+0.20vs Predicted
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7Western Washington University-1.21+0.83vs Predicted
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8University of Oregon-2.42+3.58vs Predicted
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9Western Washington University-0.91-2.24vs Predicted
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10University of Washington-1.29-1.99vs Predicted
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11Arizona State University-1.52-2.07vs Predicted
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12University of Washington-1.02-4.78vs Predicted
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13Western Washington University-1.66-3.43vs Predicted
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14Western Washington University-1.26-5.78vs Predicted
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15Western Washington University-2.63-2.83vs Predicted
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16Arizona State University-1.79-6.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.09University of Washington0.430.3%1st Place
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7.51Western Washington University-1.180.1%1st Place
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6.09University of Washington-0.730.1%1st Place
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7.1University of Oregon-1.010.1%1st Place
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6.2University of Washington-0.700.1%1st Place
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7.83Western Washington University-1.210.0%1st Place
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11.58University of Oregon-2.420.0%1st Place
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6.76Western Washington University-0.910.1%1st Place
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8.01University of Washington-1.290.0%1st Place
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8.93Arizona State University-1.520.0%1st Place
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7.22University of Washington-1.020.1%1st Place
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9.57Western Washington University-1.660.0%1st Place
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8.22Western Washington University-1.260.0%1st Place
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12.17Western Washington University-2.630.0%1st Place
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9.72Arizona State University-1.790.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maxwell Miller | 29.8% | 21.9% | 14.8% | 12.1% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Claire Jablonski | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 2.1% |
| Oliver Sommer | 9.4% | 7.9% | 11.2% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Rowan Clinch | 6.5% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 1.3% |
| Maya Outhred | 9.2% | 10.3% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 0.3% |
| Allison Sasaki | 4.5% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 2.0% |
| Ryan Tuttle | 2.1% | 1.6% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 9.0% | 11.8% | 18.8% | 26.2% |
| Julia Grams | 7.4% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 1.6% | 1.4% |
| Kaia Armas | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 6.2% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 2.5% |
| Jaquelyn Quintana | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 5.4% |
| Roy An | 6.3% | 6.0% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 1.1% |
| Kerry Wier | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 10.6% | 10.5% | 11.6% | 7.4% |
| Jack Beeson | 4.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 3.3% |
| Satya Fawcett | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 9.9% | 14.9% | 37.9% |
| Erin Welker | 2.8% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 13.7% | 11.5% | 8.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.