← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Washington0.43+2.07vs Predicted
-
3University of Oregon-1.01+3.95vs Predicted
-
4University of Washington-0.70+1.98vs Predicted
-
5University of Washington-0.73+1.19vs Predicted
-
6Western Washington University-1.26+2.03vs Predicted
-
7University of Washington-1.29+1.14vs Predicted
-
8Western Washington University-1.21-0.30vs Predicted
-
9Arizona State University-1.79+0.76vs Predicted
-
10Arizona State University-1.52-1.21vs Predicted
-
11University of Washington-1.02-3.73vs Predicted
-
12Western Washington University-0.91-5.17vs Predicted
-
13Western Washington University-1.18-5.07vs Predicted
-
14Western Washington University-1.66-4.41vs Predicted
-
15University of Oregon-2.42-3.34vs Predicted
-
16Western Washington University-2.63-3.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.07University of Washington0.430.3%1st Place
-
6.95University of Oregon-1.010.1%1st Place
-
5.98University of Washington-0.700.1%1st Place
-
6.19University of Washington-0.730.1%1st Place
-
8.03Western Washington University-1.260.1%1st Place
-
8.14University of Washington-1.290.0%1st Place
-
7.7Western Washington University-1.210.1%1st Place
-
9.76Arizona State University-1.790.0%1st Place
-
8.79Arizona State University-1.520.0%1st Place
-
7.27University of Washington-1.020.1%1st Place
-
6.83Western Washington University-0.910.1%1st Place
-
7.93Western Washington University-1.180.1%1st Place
-
9.59Western Washington University-1.660.0%1st Place
-
11.66University of Oregon-2.420.0%1st Place
-
12.11Western Washington University-2.630.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maxwell Miller | 30.6% | 22.1% | 14.4% | 10.5% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Rowan Clinch | 5.7% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 1.2% |
| Maya Outhred | 9.6% | 8.4% | 11.7% | 11.0% | 6.8% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Oliver Sommer | 8.2% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.6% |
| Jack Beeson | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 10.3% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 2.4% |
| Kaia Armas | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 2.6% |
| Allison Sasaki | 6.9% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 2.2% |
| Erin Welker | 3.2% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 9.6% | 11.8% | 12.2% | 9.7% |
| Jaquelyn Quintana | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 11.0% | 7.4% | 4.1% |
| Roy An | 5.4% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 1.1% |
| Julia Grams | 7.0% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 2.3% | 1.3% |
| Claire Jablonski | 5.1% | 4.2% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 2.0% |
| Kerry Wier | 2.7% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 10.9% | 11.6% | 7.9% |
| Ryan Tuttle | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 19.9% | 27.5% |
| Satya Fawcett | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 10.7% | 15.2% | 37.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.