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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.7%
Within 2 Positions
5.0
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Western Washington University-0.91+5.67vs Predicted
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2Western Washington University-1.26+5.79vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University-2.63+9.09vs Predicted
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4University of Oregon-2.42+7.63vs Predicted
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5University of Washington-1.02+2.23vs Predicted
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6Arizona State University-1.79+3.80vs Predicted
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7Arizona State University-1.52+1.77vs Predicted
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8Western Washington University-1.66+1.32vs Predicted
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9Western Washington University-1.18-1.35vs Predicted
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10University of Washington-1.29-1.83vs Predicted
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11Western Washington University-1.21-3.12vs Predicted
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12University of Washington-0.73-5.57vs Predicted
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13University of Washington-0.70-6.66vs Predicted
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14University of Oregon-1.01-6.89vs Predicted
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16University of Washington0.43-12.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.67Western Washington University-0.910.1%1st Place
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7.79Western Washington University-1.260.1%1st Place
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12.09Western Washington University-2.630.0%1st Place
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11.63University of Oregon-2.420.0%1st Place
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7.23University of Washington-1.020.1%1st Place
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9.8Arizona State University-1.790.0%1st Place
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8.77Arizona State University-1.520.1%1st Place
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9.32Western Washington University-1.660.0%1st Place
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7.65Western Washington University-1.180.0%1st Place
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8.17University of Washington-1.290.1%1st Place
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7.88Western Washington University-1.210.0%1st Place
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6.43University of Washington-0.730.1%1st Place
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6.34University of Washington-0.700.1%1st Place
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7.11University of Oregon-1.010.1%1st Place
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3.12University of Washington0.430.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julia Grams | 7.8% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 0.9% |
| Jack Beeson | 5.1% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 4.4% | 2.9% |
| Satya Fawcett | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 10.8% | 15.2% | 37.4% |
| Ryan Tuttle | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 10.5% | 17.1% | 28.7% |
| Roy An | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 10.0% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 1.8% |
| Erin Welker | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 10.6% | 11.7% | 12.3% | 8.2% |
| Jaquelyn Quintana | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 5.0% |
| Kerry Wier | 4.1% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 11.2% | 6.7% |
| Claire Jablonski | 4.7% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 1.5% |
| Kaia Armas | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 2.6% |
| Allison Sasaki | 4.6% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 2.2% |
| Oliver Sommer | 8.2% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
| Maya Outhred | 6.9% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Rowan Clinch | 6.2% | 6.2% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 2.8% | 1.3% |
| Maxwell Miller | 29.6% | 21.2% | 15.1% | 10.9% | 8.5% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.