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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.45+4.98vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.56+4.59vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.73+6.70vs Predicted
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4Fordham University1.54+5.46vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island1.05+5.86vs Predicted
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6Yale University1.59+3.20vs Predicted
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7Tufts University2.12+0.11vs Predicted
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8Cornell University1.79+0.35vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University1.94-0.81vs Predicted
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10Georgetown University2.40-3.76vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.55-1.02vs Predicted
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12Brown University2.22-4.42vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College1.18-2.38vs Predicted
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14University of Miami2.32-7.05vs Predicted
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15University of Wisconsin1.14-3.90vs Predicted
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16North Carolina State University1.78-7.90vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.98Harvard University2.4511.5%1st Place
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6.59Boston College2.5610.4%1st Place
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9.7U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.733.7%1st Place
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9.46Fordham University1.544.5%1st Place
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10.86University of Rhode Island1.052.9%1st Place
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9.2Yale University1.594.4%1st Place
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7.11Tufts University2.128.3%1st Place
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8.35Cornell University1.795.6%1st Place
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8.19Roger Williams University1.945.9%1st Place
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6.24Georgetown University2.4010.2%1st Place
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9.98Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.553.7%1st Place
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7.58Brown University2.226.9%1st Place
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10.62Bowdoin College1.183.1%1st Place
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6.95University of Miami2.328.9%1st Place
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11.1University of Wisconsin1.143.3%1st Place
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8.1North Carolina State University1.786.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robby Meek | 11.5% | 11.2% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 10.4% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.9% |
| Luke Zylinski | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 9.4% |
| Lucas Thress | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 7.2% |
| Olin Guck | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 11.8% | 17.7% |
| Mathias Reimer | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.3% |
| Trevor Davis | 8.3% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.1% |
| Sophia Devling | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 4.0% |
| Mathieu Dale | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 3.0% |
| Mateo Di Blasi | 10.2% | 10.4% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.7% |
| Matthew Elliott | 3.7% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 10.9% | 10.6% |
| Mason Stang | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 2.2% |
| Ethan Danielson | 3.1% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 12.8% | 13.0% |
| Atlee Kohl | 8.9% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 1.6% |
| Charlie Herrick | 3.3% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 9.7% | 13.1% | 19.1% |
| Adam Larson | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 2.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.