Race 3A

fall-fury

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

54.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
John Kinzel 30.5% 26.4% 19.8% 12.8% 6.3% 2.4% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Braden Solum 28.3% 24.5% 17.8% 14.0% 8.2% 5.4% 1.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Phil Holt 6.2% 7.2% 9.4% 12.4% 12.9% 15.7% 13.8% 12.9% 6.6% 2.6% 0.3%
Bill Weiland 10.8% 10.9% 15.1% 17.1% 15.1% 14.0% 9.0% 5.2% 2.1% 0.7% 0.0%
Charles Diamond 9.5% 12.6% 14.3% 14.9% 15.2% 13.7% 9.8% 5.2% 3.8% 0.9% 0.1%
Patrick Farrell 5.5% 6.7% 9.3% 11.4% 15.1% 14.0% 13.1% 12.0% 7.5% 4.3% 1.1%
Tony Michuda 2.0% 3.3% 3.3% 2.7% 5.6% 7.9% 9.9% 14.4% 18.3% 19.3% 13.3%
Laine Klopfenstein 2.7% 2.3% 2.8% 4.8% 7.4% 8.8% 12.6% 15.4% 16.3% 17.8% 9.1%
Eric Sauter 1.7% 2.6% 3.1% 3.0% 5.1% 6.3% 11.0% 13.4% 17.9% 21.5% 14.4%
Katy Aiello 2.2% 2.9% 3.9% 5.9% 6.7% 7.6% 13.4% 15.3% 18.1% 16.1% 7.9%
Maggie Kloote 0.6% 0.6% 1.2% 1.0% 2.4% 4.2% 4.5% 5.6% 9.3% 16.8% 53.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.