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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.53+1.04vs Predicted
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2University of Washington1.32+4.80vs Predicted
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3California Poly Maritime Academy1.43+3.51vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara1.77+1.64vs Predicted
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5University of California at Los Angeles1.06+2.74vs Predicted
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6Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.41+3.93vs Predicted
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7University of Hawaii2.38-2.92vs Predicted
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8University of California at Irvine0.27+2.23vs Predicted
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9San Diego State University0.17+1.56vs Predicted
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11University of Southern California1.47-4.58vs Predicted
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12University of California at Davis-0.32+0.04vs Predicted
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13University of California at Berkeley0.20-2.48vs Predicted
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14University of California at San Diego-0.97-0.30vs Predicted
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15Western Washington University0.08-4.23vs Predicted
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16Arizona State University0.59-6.65vs Predicted
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17University of California at Santa Cruz0.48-7.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.04Stanford University3.530.5%1st Place
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6.8University of Washington1.320.0%1st Place
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6.51California Poly Maritime Academy1.430.1%1st Place
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5.64University of California at Santa Barbara1.770.1%1st Place
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7.74University of California at Los Angeles1.060.0%1st Place
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9.93Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.410.0%1st Place
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4.08University of Hawaii2.380.1%1st Place
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10.23University of California at Irvine0.270.0%1st Place
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10.56San Diego State University0.170.0%1st Place
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6.42University of Southern California1.470.1%1st Place
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12.04University of California at Davis-0.320.0%1st Place
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10.52University of California at Berkeley0.200.0%1st Place
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13.7University of California at San Diego-0.970.0%1st Place
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10.77Western Washington University0.080.0%1st Place
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9.35Arizona State University0.590.0%1st Place
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9.69University of California at Santa Cruz0.480.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Sitzmann | 46.8% | 25.0% | 15.7% | 7.2% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Stone | 4.3% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Clay Myers | 5.3% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 10.5% | 11.3% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 10.5% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Jonathan Seawards | 6.1% | 10.7% | 12.4% | 11.2% | 12.3% | 11.3% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Marianna Shand | 3.2% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 10.3% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Max Case | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 4.7% |
| Erik Anderson | 14.1% | 16.6% | 17.4% | 15.3% | 11.9% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Arin Bekem | 1.6% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 12.1% | 8.8% | 5.1% |
| Christopher Hopkins | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 11.7% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 7.8% |
| Luke Harris | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 10.8% | 11.0% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Sean von Engelbrechten | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 10.0% | 12.6% | 19.3% | 17.3% |
| Wilton Lawton | 1.7% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 11.8% | 9.3% | 7.4% |
| Andrew Keller | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 6.5% | 10.1% | 16.5% | 42.8% |
| Nathan Gerber | 1.4% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 11.0% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 11.8% | 8.2% |
| Aidan Boylan | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 10.6% | 7.8% | 4.8% | 2.5% |
| George Soliman | 1.7% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 3.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.