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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii2.38+3.03vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara1.77+3.69vs Predicted
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3Stanford University3.53-0.89vs Predicted
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4University of Southern California1.47+2.71vs Predicted
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5California Poly Maritime Academy1.43+1.66vs Predicted
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6California State University Channel Islands0.42+4.46vs Predicted
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7University of California at Berkeley0.20+4.04vs Predicted
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8University of Washington1.32-0.95vs Predicted
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9University of California at Los Angeles1.06-0.85vs Predicted
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10University of California at Davis-0.32+2.74vs Predicted
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11San Diego State University0.17+0.29vs Predicted
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12Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.41-1.71vs Predicted
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13University of California at Irvine0.27-2.16vs Predicted
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14University of California at Santa Cruz0.48-3.79vs Predicted
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15Arizona State University0.59-5.31vs Predicted
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16University of California at San Diego-0.97-1.45vs Predicted
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17Western Washington University0.08-5.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.03University of Hawaii2.380.2%1st Place
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5.69University of California at Santa Barbara1.770.1%1st Place
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2.11Stanford University3.530.4%1st Place
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6.71University of Southern California1.470.1%1st Place
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6.66California Poly Maritime Academy1.430.0%1st Place
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10.46California State University Channel Islands0.420.0%1st Place
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11.04University of California at Berkeley0.200.0%1st Place
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7.05University of Washington1.320.1%1st Place
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8.15University of California at Los Angeles1.060.0%1st Place
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12.74University of California at Davis-0.320.0%1st Place
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11.29San Diego State University0.170.0%1st Place
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10.29Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.410.0%1st Place
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10.84University of California at Irvine0.270.0%1st Place
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10.21University of California at Santa Cruz0.480.0%1st Place
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9.69Arizona State University0.590.0%1st Place
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14.55University of California at San Diego-0.970.0%1st Place
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11.5Western Washington University0.080.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erik Anderson | 15.6% | 15.7% | 15.5% | 14.7% | 13.5% | 9.6% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Seawards | 6.7% | 10.5% | 11.0% | 11.5% | 13.0% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Sitzmann | 43.9% | 27.1% | 14.9% | 7.1% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Luke Harris | 5.9% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 10.8% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Clay Myers | 4.7% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Sterling Maggard | 2.2% | 1.5% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 4.4% |
| Wilton Lawton | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 4.8% |
| Benjamin Stone | 5.5% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Marianna Shand | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Sean von Engelbrechten | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 11.8% | 16.3% | 15.8% |
| Christopher Hopkins | 1.3% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 12.0% | 7.2% |
| Max Case | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 3.9% |
| Arin Bekem | 1.6% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 8.1% | 5.3% |
| George Soliman | 1.3% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 3.3% |
| Aidan Boylan | 2.4% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 2.3% |
| Andrew Keller | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 14.0% | 43.9% |
| Nathan Gerber | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 9.5% | 12.4% | 8.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.