← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Stanford University3.53+1.02vs Predicted
-
2California Poly Maritime Academy1.43+4.69vs Predicted
-
3University of Hawaii2.38+1.10vs Predicted
-
4California State University Channel Islands0.42+6.33vs Predicted
-
5University of Southern California1.47+1.60vs Predicted
-
6University of Washington1.32+1.31vs Predicted
-
7University of California at Santa Cruz0.48+3.07vs Predicted
-
8University of California at Santa Barbara1.77-2.29vs Predicted
-
9University of California at Los Angeles1.06-0.85vs Predicted
-
10University of California at Irvine0.27+0.76vs Predicted
-
11San Diego State University0.17+0.27vs Predicted
-
12University of California at San Diego-0.97+2.46vs Predicted
-
13University of California at Berkeley0.20-1.91vs Predicted
-
14Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.41-3.54vs Predicted
-
15University of California at Davis-0.32-2.31vs Predicted
-
16Western Washington University0.08-4.47vs Predicted
-
17Arizona State University0.59-7.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.02Stanford University3.530.5%1st Place
-
6.69California Poly Maritime Academy1.430.1%1st Place
-
4.1University of Hawaii2.380.1%1st Place
-
10.33California State University Channel Islands0.420.0%1st Place
-
6.6University of Southern California1.470.0%1st Place
-
7.31University of Washington1.320.0%1st Place
-
10.07University of California at Santa Cruz0.480.0%1st Place
-
5.71University of California at Santa Barbara1.770.1%1st Place
-
8.15University of California at Los Angeles1.060.0%1st Place
-
10.76University of California at Irvine0.270.0%1st Place
-
11.27San Diego State University0.170.0%1st Place
-
14.46University of California at San Diego-0.970.0%1st Place
-
11.09University of California at Berkeley0.200.0%1st Place
-
10.46Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.410.0%1st Place
-
12.69University of California at Davis-0.320.0%1st Place
-
11.53Western Washington University0.080.0%1st Place
-
9.76Arizona State University0.590.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Sitzmann | 46.6% | 26.1% | 13.2% | 8.7% | 3.7% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Clay Myers | 5.5% | 6.2% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 11.1% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Erik Anderson | 12.6% | 18.4% | 17.5% | 13.7% | 12.2% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sterling Maggard | 1.6% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 10.5% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 4.2% |
| Luke Harris | 4.7% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Stone | 4.2% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 10.6% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| George Soliman | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 2.5% |
| Jonathan Seawards | 8.5% | 9.8% | 12.1% | 11.3% | 10.9% | 10.3% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Marianna Shand | 3.3% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.9% |
| Arin Bekem | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 4.6% |
| Christopher Hopkins | 1.9% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 11.2% | 12.0% | 6.2% |
| Andrew Keller | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 14.9% | 43.4% |
| Wilton Lawton | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 6.4% |
| Max Case | 1.6% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 7.1% | 3.3% |
| Sean von Engelbrechten | 0.3% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 12.2% | 17.1% | 17.4% |
| Nathan Gerber | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 11.6% | 8.0% |
| Aidan Boylan | 1.5% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 3.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.