Race 1A

north-points-3

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

53.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Patrick Soper 16.8% 15.2% 13.7% 13.1% 11.6% 9.9% 8.7% 5.5% 2.9% 1.5% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
Eliza Richartz 20.8% 17.3% 15.2% 14.2% 11.6% 7.8% 5.2% 5.0% 1.3% 0.8% 0.5% 0.3% 0.0%
Michael Lazzaro 6.2% 8.8% 9.6% 9.0% 9.5% 9.4% 12.7% 12.7% 10.1% 6.6% 3.7% 1.3% 0.4%
Andrew Cowley 6.5% 6.7% 7.6% 9.0% 10.3% 10.4% 10.1% 13.2% 9.8% 9.0% 4.7% 2.0% 0.7%
Samuel Harrison 15.2% 15.0% 13.1% 11.9% 12.0% 10.8% 8.7% 6.3% 4.0% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1% 0.1%
Bradley Schoch 9.3% 10.2% 9.3% 11.2% 11.2% 11.7% 10.3% 10.2% 6.4% 5.9% 3.1% 1.1% 0.1%
Erik Lund 5.6% 5.8% 6.6% 6.5% 5.6% 7.8% 10.8% 11.2% 13.3% 12.3% 8.7% 4.3% 1.5%
Cody Shevitz 12.6% 12.3% 12.6% 12.7% 11.2% 12.7% 10.7% 6.6% 4.1% 2.6% 1.7% 0.1% 0.1%
Gregory Hodges 1.5% 2.4% 2.6% 2.0% 3.8% 4.0% 4.5% 5.8% 9.3% 12.2% 17.9% 18.9% 15.1%
Ashley Eberhard 1.4% 2.7% 2.9% 2.9% 3.3% 4.1% 4.2% 6.7% 11.3% 12.9% 17.1% 16.4% 14.1%
Lauren Amery 2.2% 1.9% 3.6% 4.5% 6.1% 5.9% 7.2% 8.4% 13.4% 14.5% 13.3% 12.3% 6.7%
Janet Rumsey 0.9% 0.9% 1.8% 1.9% 2.3% 3.4% 4.5% 3.9% 8.3% 8.7% 15.3% 20.6% 27.5%
Christopher Hagerman 1.0% 0.8% 1.4% 1.1% 1.5% 2.1% 2.4% 4.5% 5.8% 10.8% 12.5% 22.4% 33.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.