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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hamilton College-0.67+3.16vs Predicted
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2Columbia University0.09+1.26vs Predicted
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3SUNY Maritime College0.20-0.13vs Predicted
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4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.37-0.26vs Predicted
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5Webb Institute0.40-2.37vs Predicted
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6SUNY Stony Brook-1.09-1.24vs Predicted
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7U. S. Military Academy-2.94-0.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.16Hamilton College-0.679.4%1st Place
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3.26Columbia University0.0918.0%1st Place
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2.87SUNY Maritime College0.2023.1%1st Place
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3.74U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.3713.9%1st Place
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2.63Webb Institute0.4027.7%1st Place
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4.76SUNY Stony Brook-1.097.0%1st Place
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6.58U. S. Military Academy-2.940.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Teddy Jiganti | 9.4% | 11.8% | 13.7% | 15.7% | 22.7% | 21.7% | 5.1% |
| Alexander Sau Hang Ching | 18.0% | 18.5% | 19.6% | 18.2% | 15.6% | 9.0% | 1.1% |
| Andrew Embry | 23.1% | 23.2% | 19.3% | 18.1% | 10.7% | 5.2% | 0.4% |
| Carson Totino | 13.9% | 13.6% | 15.9% | 18.8% | 20.4% | 14.7% | 2.8% |
| Aidan Woods | 27.7% | 24.6% | 20.6% | 14.9% | 8.3% | 3.6% | 0.2% |
| Mahmodol Mojumder | 7.0% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 12.0% | 18.4% | 36.3% | 9.9% |
| Sophie Fernandez | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 9.4% | 80.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.