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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University4.85+0.95vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.23+2.15vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont4.10-0.17vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.53+1.46vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College2.98-0.39vs Predicted
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6University of Connecticut2.51-0.59vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.08-1.71vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.49-0.55vs Predicted
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10Wesleyan University-0.83-0.43vs Predicted
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11Salve Regina University2.07-4.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.95Yale University4.850.5%1st Place
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4.15Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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2.83University of Vermont4.100.2%1st Place
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5.46Brown University2.530.0%1st Place
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4.61Bowdoin College2.980.1%1st Place
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5.41University of Connecticut2.510.1%1st Place
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6.29U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.080.0%1st Place
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8.45Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.490.0%1st Place
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9.57Wesleyan University-0.830.0%1st Place
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6.28Salve Regina University2.070.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Barrows | 47.8% | 28.0% | 12.5% | 7.1% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Chandler Salisbury | 10.1% | 11.6% | 17.8% | 18.6% | 16.2% | 12.5% | 8.3% | 4.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Ambrose Gosling | 20.6% | 28.4% | 22.1% | 13.9% | 8.8% | 4.3% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Madeleine Harvey | 3.6% | 6.4% | 9.1% | 13.7% | 15.2% | 16.3% | 17.7% | 12.6% | 5.0% | 0.4% |
| Leah Hughes | 7.6% | 10.6% | 12.9% | 15.1% | 18.6% | 16.1% | 11.0% | 6.6% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Sean Andrew | 5.6% | 6.7% | 9.3% | 11.4% | 14.3% | 16.7% | 17.3% | 13.4% | 4.8% | 0.5% |
| Chris Grabe | 2.1% | 2.7% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 10.6% | 15.3% | 18.1% | 23.4% | 10.7% | 1.0% |
| Nate Olsen | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 12.4% | 51.3% | 19.0% |
| Gabriel Elder | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 15.0% | 77.5% |
| Robert Keller | 2.0% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 12.8% | 17.2% | 24.7% | 11.0% | 1.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.