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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tulane University1.73+8.24vs Predicted
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2Stanford University2.07+4.94vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University1.80+4.94vs Predicted
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4Brown University1.69+5.24vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.63+3.74vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College1.45+4.25vs Predicted
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7Boston College1.36+3.10vs Predicted
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8Cornell University1.79+0.45vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College1.84-0.58vs Predicted
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10Yale University2.42-5.95vs Predicted
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11Harvard University2.17-3.89vs Predicted
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12George Washington University1.07+0.50vs Predicted
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13University of South Florida0.99-0.79vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University1.31-4.15vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University1.18-3.47vs Predicted
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16Tufts University1.01-4.11vs Predicted
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17College of Charleston1.26-6.85vs Predicted
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18University of Pennsylvania1.16-5.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.24Tulane University1.735.3%1st Place
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6.94Stanford University2.078.3%1st Place
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7.94Georgetown University1.806.7%1st Place
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9.24Brown University1.694.8%1st Place
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8.74Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.635.9%1st Place
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10.25Dartmouth College1.453.5%1st Place
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10.1Boston College1.364.7%1st Place
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8.45Cornell University1.796.0%1st Place
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8.42Bowdoin College1.845.8%1st Place
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4.05Yale University2.4221.6%1st Place
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7.11Harvard University2.177.3%1st Place
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12.5George Washington University1.072.2%1st Place
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12.21University of South Florida0.992.8%1st Place
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9.85Roger Williams University1.313.8%1st Place
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11.53Northeastern University1.182.5%1st Place
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11.89Tufts University1.012.4%1st Place
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10.15College of Charleston1.264.0%1st Place
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12.39University of Pennsylvania1.162.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ava Anderson | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 2.5% |
| Ellie Harned | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Emily Doble | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 0.9% |
| Katherine McNamara | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 2.4% |
| Lucy Brock | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 1.8% |
| Olivia Drulard | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 4.0% |
| Sara Schumann | 4.7% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 4.3% |
| Sophia Devling | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 0.9% |
| Lauren Russler | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.8% |
| Carmen Cowles | 21.6% | 17.3% | 15.0% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zoey Ziskind | 7.3% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 12.2% | 18.1% |
| Kalea Woodard | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 11.3% | 15.8% |
| Tavia Smith | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.7% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 10.7% | 8.9% |
| Sophia Hubbard | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 13.2% |
| Emily Alfortish | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.2% |
| Adra Ivancich | 2.2% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 11.6% | 14.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.