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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.40+5.12vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.45+3.96vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.12+4.20vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University1.94+3.97vs Predicted
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5University of Miami2.32+2.01vs Predicted
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6North Carolina State University1.78+1.93vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island1.05+4.12vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.73+1.68vs Predicted
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9Boston College2.56-2.38vs Predicted
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10Cornell University1.79-1.53vs Predicted
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11Yale University1.59-1.65vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.55-1.84vs Predicted
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13Fordham University1.54-3.68vs Predicted
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14Brown University2.22-6.55vs Predicted
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15Bowdoin College1.18-4.41vs Predicted
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16University of Wisconsin1.14-4.95vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.12Georgetown University2.4012.8%1st Place
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5.96Harvard University2.4511.2%1st Place
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7.2Tufts University2.128.2%1st Place
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7.97Roger Williams University1.946.5%1st Place
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7.01University of Miami2.327.4%1st Place
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7.93North Carolina State University1.785.9%1st Place
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11.12University of Rhode Island1.052.1%1st Place
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9.68U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.734.3%1st Place
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6.62Boston College2.568.8%1st Place
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8.47Cornell University1.796.0%1st Place
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9.35Yale University1.593.8%1st Place
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10.16Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.552.5%1st Place
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9.32Fordham University1.545.0%1st Place
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7.45Brown University2.228.3%1st Place
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10.59Bowdoin College1.183.8%1st Place
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11.05University of Wisconsin1.143.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mateo Di Blasi | 12.8% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Robby Meek | 11.2% | 10.8% | 11.3% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Trevor Davis | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.4% |
| Mathieu Dale | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 2.8% |
| Atlee Kohl | 7.4% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 1.1% |
| Adam Larson | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 3.1% |
| Olin Guck | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 12.3% | 19.2% |
| Luke Zylinski | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 9.2% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 8.8% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.9% |
| Sophia Devling | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.5% |
| Mathias Reimer | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.3% |
| Matthew Elliott | 2.5% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 10.1% |
| Lucas Thress | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 6.8% |
| Mason Stang | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 1.8% |
| Ethan Danielson | 3.8% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 12.8% | 15.0% |
| Charlie Herrick | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 10.8% | 12.4% | 17.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.