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📊 Prediction Accuracy
54.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Marquette University0.69+4.68vs Predicted
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2University of Minnesota2.21+0.73vs Predicted
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3University of Wisconsin2.37-0.38vs Predicted
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5University of Illinois1.22-0.33vs Predicted
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7Michigan State University1.36-2.81vs Predicted
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8Hope College-0.35-0.23vs Predicted
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9University of Notre Dame-0.54-1.06vs Predicted
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10Purdue University0.83-4.80vs Predicted
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11Michigan Technological University-1.57-1.27vs Predicted
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12Indiana University-0.28-4.53vs Predicted
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13University of Iowa-0.54-5.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.68Marquette University0.690.1%1st Place
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2.73University of Minnesota2.210.3%1st Place
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2.62University of Wisconsin2.370.3%1st Place
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4.67University of Illinois1.220.1%1st Place
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4.19Michigan State University1.360.1%1st Place
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7.77Hope College-0.350.0%1st Place
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7.94University of Notre Dame-0.540.0%1st Place
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5.2Purdue University0.830.1%1st Place
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9.73Michigan Technological University-1.570.0%1st Place
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7.47Indiana University-0.280.0%1st Place
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8.0University of Iowa-0.540.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Farrell | 5.4% | 5.1% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 14.4% | 14.9% | 15.3% | 13.8% | 6.5% | 3.6% | 0.7% |
| Braden Solum | 29.5% | 23.6% | 16.9% | 14.5% | 8.4% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Kinzel | 28.5% | 26.1% | 20.3% | 12.1% | 7.2% | 4.4% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Diamond | 9.2% | 10.7% | 11.5% | 15.8% | 17.8% | 13.4% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Bill Weiland | 11.2% | 14.6% | 16.5% | 14.6% | 14.3% | 13.0% | 8.4% | 5.2% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Laine Klopfenstein | 1.5% | 2.5% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 9.4% | 11.6% | 14.1% | 18.4% | 18.1% | 10.7% |
| Tony Michuda | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 7.7% | 11.6% | 13.5% | 17.1% | 21.8% | 12.2% |
| Phil Holt | 7.6% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 13.9% | 14.6% | 14.2% | 13.0% | 9.9% | 5.7% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| Maggie Kloote | 0.5% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 9.5% | 16.5% | 55.4% |
| Katy Aiello | 2.6% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 9.2% | 12.3% | 14.9% | 19.3% | 16.4% | 6.9% |
| Eric Sauter | 1.5% | 1.7% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 7.5% | 9.9% | 14.4% | 19.2% | 19.7% | 12.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.