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📊 Prediction Accuracy
52.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.79+1.60vs Predicted
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2California Poly Maritime Academy0.93+5.03vs Predicted
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3Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.05+3.76vs Predicted
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4University of Hawaii2.28-0.34vs Predicted
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5University of Washington0.66+2.73vs Predicted
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6University of California at Los Angeles1.57-0.57vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Barbara1.19-0.63vs Predicted
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8University of Southern California1.48-2.52vs Predicted
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9University of California at Berkeley-0.50+2.32vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Cruz0.65-2.18vs Predicted
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11University of California at San Diego-0.69+0.75vs Predicted
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12Western Washington University-0.57-0.59vs Predicted
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13Arizona State University0.32-4.07vs Predicted
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14University of California at Davis-2.19+0.97vs Predicted
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15University of California at Irvine-0.66-3.38vs Predicted
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16San Diego State University-1.80-1.73vs Predicted
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17California State University Channel Islands-2.78-1.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.6Stanford University2.790.3%1st Place
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7.03California Poly Maritime Academy0.930.1%1st Place
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6.76Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.050.1%1st Place
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3.66University of Hawaii2.280.2%1st Place
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7.73University of Washington0.660.0%1st Place
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5.43University of California at Los Angeles1.570.1%1st Place
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6.37University of California at Santa Barbara1.190.1%1st Place
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5.48University of Southern California1.480.1%1st Place
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11.32University of California at Berkeley-0.500.0%1st Place
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7.82University of California at Santa Cruz0.650.0%1st Place
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11.75University of California at San Diego-0.690.0%1st Place
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11.41Western Washington University-0.570.0%1st Place
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8.93Arizona State University0.320.0%1st Place
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14.97University of California at Davis-2.190.0%1st Place
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11.62University of California at Irvine-0.660.0%1st Place
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14.27San Diego State University-1.800.0%1st Place
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15.83California State University Channel Islands-2.780.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reade Decker | 33.7% | 22.9% | 17.1% | 12.5% | 7.4% | 4.0% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Downey | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 11.3% | 11.9% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 3.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Garrett Henderson | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bastien Rasse | 18.3% | 19.1% | 16.2% | 14.9% | 11.4% | 8.0% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucien Freemesser | 3.4% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 11.2% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ian Wells | 8.9% | 8.5% | 11.7% | 12.3% | 11.1% | 12.4% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jasper Reid | 6.2% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 12.7% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 7.4% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hudson Mayfield | 8.7% | 11.3% | 11.1% | 10.3% | 11.0% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alyssa Cunningham Barkus | 0.6% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 14.5% | 14.7% | 12.5% | 11.0% | 4.6% | 0.9% |
| Colin Olson | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 11.0% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 6.8% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Max Mccreynolds | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 14.6% | 16.7% | 13.8% | 6.7% | 1.3% |
| Kira Blumhagen | 1.0% | 1.0% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 10.1% | 11.4% | 13.9% | 17.9% | 9.4% | 4.4% | 1.3% |
| Matt Grimsley | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 11.7% | 11.7% | 11.2% | 10.4% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Juliette Cramer | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 9.8% | 14.2% | 31.5% | 27.3% |
| Nikita Swatek | 0.4% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 9.7% | 11.5% | 15.3% | 14.0% | 13.9% | 5.6% | 1.3% |
| Tegan Smith | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 9.3% | 12.1% | 22.7% | 23.4% | 15.5% |
| Kurt Richards | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 10.6% | 22.6% | 52.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.