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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.79+1.64vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii2.28+1.56vs Predicted
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3University of California at Los Angeles1.57+2.36vs Predicted
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4Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.05+2.68vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara1.16+1.34vs Predicted
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6California Poly Maritime Academy0.93+1.16vs Predicted
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7Western Washington University-0.57+4.37vs Predicted
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8California State University Channel Islands-2.78+7.63vs Predicted
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9University of California at Berkeley-0.50+2.33vs Predicted
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10University of Southern California1.48-4.53vs Predicted
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11University of California at Santa Cruz0.65-3.05vs Predicted
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12University of Washington0.66-4.11vs Predicted
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13University of California at San Diego-0.69-1.27vs Predicted
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14Arizona State University0.32-5.02vs Predicted
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15University of California at Davis-2.19-0.09vs Predicted
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16University of California at Irvine-0.66-4.32vs Predicted
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17San Diego State University-1.80-2.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.64Stanford University2.790.3%1st Place
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3.56University of Hawaii2.280.2%1st Place
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5.36University of California at Los Angeles1.570.1%1st Place
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6.68Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.050.1%1st Place
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6.34University of California at Santa Barbara1.160.1%1st Place
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7.16California Poly Maritime Academy0.930.0%1st Place
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11.37Western Washington University-0.570.0%1st Place
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15.63California State University Channel Islands-2.780.0%1st Place
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11.33University of California at Berkeley-0.500.0%1st Place
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5.47University of Southern California1.480.1%1st Place
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7.95University of California at Santa Cruz0.650.0%1st Place
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7.89University of Washington0.660.0%1st Place
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11.73University of California at San Diego-0.690.0%1st Place
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8.98Arizona State University0.320.0%1st Place
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14.91University of California at Davis-2.190.0%1st Place
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11.68University of California at Irvine-0.660.0%1st Place
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14.34San Diego State University-1.800.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reade Decker | 32.6% | 22.8% | 17.6% | 13.1% | 6.9% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bastien Rasse | 18.7% | 20.3% | 17.4% | 15.0% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Wells | 8.3% | 9.5% | 12.9% | 11.8% | 12.9% | 11.0% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Garrett Henderson | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 12.0% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 6.0% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Caleb Yoslov | 6.3% | 7.0% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 11.4% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Downey | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 10.5% | 11.4% | 11.0% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kira Blumhagen | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 9.8% | 14.1% | 14.7% | 15.5% | 10.8% | 4.3% | 0.8% |
| Kurt Richards | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 10.3% | 21.5% | 50.7% |
| Alyssa Cunningham Barkus | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 13.1% | 14.9% | 12.4% | 11.8% | 4.5% | 0.8% |
| Hudson Mayfield | 8.5% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 12.6% | 11.3% | 12.1% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Colin Olson | 4.3% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 11.0% | 10.7% | 8.9% | 10.7% | 7.9% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Lucien Freemesser | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 11.0% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Max Mccreynolds | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 10.9% | 15.2% | 15.1% | 13.8% | 7.3% | 1.1% |
| Matt Grimsley | 2.0% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 12.2% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 4.8% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Juliette Cramer | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 9.2% | 16.6% | 27.4% | 28.9% |
| Nikita Swatek | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 9.9% | 11.6% | 14.2% | 16.9% | 10.1% | 6.5% | 1.8% |
| Tegan Smith | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 7.5% | 10.5% | 21.4% | 26.6% | 15.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.