Race 5A

fall-fury

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

63.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Phil Holt 3.4% 5.3% 7.9% 9.7% 13.8% 16.3% 13.4% 15.9% 10.2% 3.2% 0.9%
Harrison Burton 26.7% 26.2% 20.9% 13.9% 8.0% 2.5% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Michael Lee 42.1% 29.6% 16.2% 6.9% 3.7% 1.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Charles Diamond 5.2% 7.8% 11.1% 14.0% 15.3% 16.2% 13.3% 10.4% 4.2% 2.3% 0.2%
Bill Weiland 7.6% 8.8% 15.1% 16.7% 14.1% 13.8% 11.3% 7.3% 4.3% 0.9% 0.1%
Patrick Farrell 3.2% 5.3% 7.5% 10.5% 12.1% 14.0% 15.2% 13.0% 10.3% 7.7% 1.2%
Laine Klopfenstein 1.7% 3.1% 2.7% 3.1% 5.8% 7.6% 10.2% 11.5% 21.1% 22.4% 10.8%
Katy Aiello 2.2% 1.6% 2.5% 3.8% 5.7% 7.7% 11.5% 15.9% 17.9% 20.5% 10.7%
Maggie Kloote 0.4% 0.6% 1.0% 0.7% 2.0% 2.1% 3.1% 4.2% 8.9% 16.1% 60.9%
Eric Sauter 0.8% 1.8% 2.5% 3.9% 4.7% 4.8% 8.7% 12.9% 19.6% 25.5% 14.8%
Nathaniel Walden 6.7% 9.9% 12.6% 16.8% 14.8% 13.6% 11.7% 8.6% 3.5% 1.4% 0.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.