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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.45+5.14vs Predicted
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2Brown University1.74+6.52vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.45+2.98vs Predicted
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4University of Miami2.32+3.06vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University2.40+1.26vs Predicted
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6Boston College2.56+0.72vs Predicted
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7Cornell University1.79+1.29vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.55+2.06vs Predicted
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9Yale University1.59+0.08vs Predicted
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10Tufts University2.12-2.85vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island1.05+0.11vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College1.18-1.28vs Predicted
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13North Carolina State University1.78-4.83vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.73-4.04vs Predicted
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15Fordham University1.54-5.44vs Predicted
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16University of Wisconsin1.14-4.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.14Harvard University2.4510.9%1st Place
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8.52Brown University1.745.6%1st Place
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5.98Roger Williams University2.4510.8%1st Place
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7.06University of Miami2.328.2%1st Place
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6.26Georgetown University2.4010.8%1st Place
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6.72Boston College2.569.5%1st Place
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8.29Cornell University1.795.6%1st Place
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10.06Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.553.5%1st Place
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9.08Yale University1.594.2%1st Place
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7.15Tufts University2.127.9%1st Place
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11.11University of Rhode Island1.052.8%1st Place
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10.72Bowdoin College1.183.2%1st Place
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8.17North Carolina State University1.786.5%1st Place
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9.96U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.734.5%1st Place
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9.56Fordham University1.543.9%1st Place
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11.22University of Wisconsin1.142.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robby Meek | 10.9% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Cam Spriggs | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 4.0% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 10.8% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Atlee Kohl | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 1.1% |
| Mateo Di Blasi | 10.8% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.7% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 9.5% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 0.9% |
| Sophia Devling | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 3.6% |
| Matthew Elliott | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 9.4% |
| Mathias Reimer | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.0% |
| Trevor Davis | 7.9% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.2% |
| Olin Guck | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 12.5% | 19.1% |
| Ethan Danielson | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 11.7% | 15.2% |
| Adam Larson | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 3.0% |
| Luke Zylinski | 4.5% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 9.7% |
| Lucas Thress | 3.9% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 6.7% |
| Charlie Herrick | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 14.2% | 18.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.