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📊 Prediction Accuracy
52.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara2.51+1.68vs Predicted
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2Stanford University2.55+0.62vs Predicted
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3University of Southern California0.64+4.02vs Predicted
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4California Poly Maritime Academy0.74+2.72vs Predicted
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5University of Hawaii1.53-0.45vs Predicted
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6University of California at Los Angeles0.12+2.78vs Predicted
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7University of California at Berkeley-0.55+3.67vs Predicted
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8Arizona State University-0.90+3.54vs Predicted
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9Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.09-0.14vs Predicted
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10Western Washington University-0.13-0.66vs Predicted
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11University of Washington0.72-4.11vs Predicted
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12University of California at San Diego-1.07+0.28vs Predicted
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13University of California at Irvine-1.53+0.54vs Predicted
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14University of California at Davis-1.60-0.23vs Predicted
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15University of California at Santa Cruz0.54-7.72vs Predicted
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16California State University Channel Islands-2.04-1.30vs Predicted
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17San Diego State University-0.87-5.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.68University of California at Santa Barbara2.510.3%1st Place
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2.62Stanford University2.550.3%1st Place
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7.02University of Southern California0.640.0%1st Place
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6.72California Poly Maritime Academy0.740.1%1st Place
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4.55University of Hawaii1.530.1%1st Place
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8.78University of California at Los Angeles0.120.0%1st Place
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10.67University of California at Berkeley-0.550.0%1st Place
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11.54Arizona State University-0.900.0%1st Place
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8.86Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.090.0%1st Place
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9.34Western Washington University-0.130.0%1st Place
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6.89University of Washington0.720.1%1st Place
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12.28University of California at San Diego-1.070.0%1st Place
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13.54University of California at Irvine-1.530.0%1st Place
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13.77University of California at Davis-1.600.0%1st Place
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7.28University of California at Santa Cruz0.540.0%1st Place
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14.7California State University Channel Islands-2.040.0%1st Place
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11.75San Diego State University-0.870.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Henry Boeger | 28.8% | 23.8% | 20.7% | 13.3% | 7.6% | 3.8% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Woodworth | 30.5% | 25.0% | 20.2% | 11.8% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Morgana Manti | 3.9% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 11.4% | 11.9% | 11.0% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Ben Louttit | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 11.7% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Trey Summers | 10.4% | 15.3% | 13.7% | 14.0% | 15.1% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sanchita Pant | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 3.0% | 0.5% | 0.4% |
| Adrien Stroumza | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 10.2% | 11.6% | 12.8% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 2.4% |
| Mitchell Powers | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 11.4% | 13.2% | 9.6% | 5.1% |
| Jack Phibbs | 1.6% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Ellie Blakemore | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 2.0% | 0.9% |
| Oliver Nairn | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 12.9% | 10.7% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sean Lipps | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 10.3% | 13.5% | 13.0% | 13.0% | 7.5% |
| Brayden Money | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 8.7% | 10.7% | 15.1% | 20.0% | 18.5% |
| Jason Yang | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 11.0% | 13.5% | 20.0% | 21.9% |
| Blake Roberts | 3.7% | 4.9% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 10.6% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Seraphee de Labaca | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 8.8% | 12.9% | 18.8% | 36.5% |
| Charlotte Hinman | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 13.4% | 11.3% | 9.3% | 6.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.